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Friday February 1, 2013 - 07:32:24 GMT
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TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China official Manufacturing PMI disappoints while HSBC PMI surprises as analysts question the accuracy around Lunar New Year - Source TradeTheNews.com

***Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA JAN MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.4 V 51.0E >- (CN) CHINA JAN HSBC FINAL MANUFACTURING PMI: 52.3 V 52.0E (two-year high) - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) Q/Q: 0.2% V 0.3%E (3-quarter low); Y/Y: 1.0% V 1.2%E (lowest since Q2 of 2010) - (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN RPDATA-RISMARK HOUSE PX Y/Y: +1.2% V -0.3% - (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN AIG PERFORMANCE OF MANUFACTURING INDEX (PMI): 40.2 V 44.3 PRIOR (11th month of contraction and lowest level since June 2009) - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC NET MIGRATION: 0 V 550 PRIOR - (IN) INDIA JAN MARKIT MANUFACTURING PMI: 53.2 V 54.7 PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN JAN VEHICLE SALES Y/Y: -12.9% V -3.4% PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN DEC OVERALL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Y/Y: -0.7% V -0.2%E (3-month low) - (JP) JAPAN DEC JOBLESS RATE: 4.2% V 4.1%E (first rise since Apr 2012); JOB-TO-APPLICANT RATIO: 0.82 V 0.80E - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.9 V 50.1 PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN EXTERNAL TRADE BALANCE: $874M V $880ME - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) M/M: 0.6% V 0.6%E; Y/Y: 1.5% V 1.5%E (below 2% for 3rd month); CORE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX: 1.2% V 1.2% PRIOR - (ID) INDONESIA JAN INFLATION M/M: 1.0% V 0.9%E; Y/Y: 4.6% V 4.5%E; CORE INFLATION: 4.3% V 4.4%E - (ID) INDONESIA HSBC JAN MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.7 V 50.7 PRIOR - (TH) THAILAND JAN CPI M/M: 0.2% V 0.2%E; Y/Y: 3.4% V 3.5%E; CORE CPI Y/Y: 1.6% V 1.7%E - (TW) TAIWAN JAN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 51.5 V 50.6 PRIOR - (VN) VIETNAM JAN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.1 V 49.3 PRIOR ***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 +0.7% - S&P/ASX +0.9% - Kospi flat - Shanghai Composite +0.4% - Hang Seng -0.3% - Mar S&P500 +0.3% at 1,498 - Feb gold flat at $1,663/oz - Mar Crude Oil +.01% at $97.56/brl ***Notes/Observations*** - Senate approves debt ceiling suspension legislation; as expected - China Jan Manufacturing PMI softer than expected; HSBC coming in at 2-year high 52.3, improvement from Jan Flash PMI of 51.9 suggesting H2 of Jan improved further; Analysts question the accuracy of weaker print due to timing of Lunar New Year. - RBNZ Gov Wheeler delivers first public address of the year, signals potential shift in policy bias with a meeting on macroprudential policy tools in March; Reiterates concern over housing inflation. - Sharp reports Q3 Op profit as speculated in Japan press; first op profit in 5 quarters; Keeps FY12/13 guidance on cautious outlook for displays. - Nikkei225, S&P/ASX at multi-month highs - EUR/USD above $1.36; USD/JPY above 92 ***Currencies*** - USDJPY - broke through 91.50 level, reached 91.86 high, currently consolidating between 91.70-91.80 levels. - AUDUSD - beginning of session rose through 1.0425 levels on back of NZD strength, fell sharply after China PMI disappointed to 1.0412 levels, currently holding above 1.04 handle. - NZDUSD - extended previous session gains on comments by RBNZ Gov Wheeler, reached 0.8439 high, before falling back slightly after China PMI release. Holding above 0.8400 handle. - USDSGD - Raced past 1.24 levels to a 4-month high. - AUDNZD - relative NZD strength after RBNZ Gov Wheeler comments combined with AUD weakness after China Manuf PMI sending the cross below Oct 2012 support to NZ$1.2350; Lowest level since Aug 2011. ***Fixed Income/Commodities*** - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$600M in 2018 Bonds; avg yield: 3.031%, bid-to-cover: 3.67x - (US) Weekly Fed Balance Sheet Assets Week ending Jan 30th: $2.991T v $2.993T prior; M1: +$15.0B v +$35.5B prior; M2: -$55B v -$26.6B prior ***Speakers/Political/In the Papers*** - (NZ) RBNZ Gov Wheeler: To consult on macroprudential policy tools in March; Sees strong int'l demand for NZ commodity exports - (JP) Japan Econ Min Amari: Currently does not see the need to alter BOJ law; PM Abe may be narrowing the list for BoJ Gov candidates - financial press - (JP) Japan's METI: Sees sequential growth in industrial production extending into January and February - Nikkei News ***Equities*** - Toyota Industries 6201.JP: Reports 9-month Net 40.6B v 39.8B y/y, Op Profit 51.2B v 48.6B y/y, Rev 1.14T v 1.13T y/y - Sharp 6753.JP: Reports 9-month Net loss 424B v 214B y/y, Op loss 166B v gain 9.14B y/y, Rev 1.78T v 1.90T y/y >- Panasonic 6752.JP: Reports 9-month Net loss 623.8B v loss 333.8B y/y, Rev 5.44T v 5.97T y/y - Denso Corp 6902.JP: Reports 9-month Net 130.8B v 36.4B y/y, Op Profit 188.0B v 82.1B y/y, Rev 2.57T v 2.21T y/y - SNE: Plans to unveil next-gen game console in an announcement on Sunday, 20th Feb - financial press - KTC 030200.KR: Reports Q4 Net KRW93.6B v KRW211B y/y, Op KRW51B v KRW288B y/y, Rev KRW6.20T v KRW6.38T y/y - MCK: Reports Q3 $1.41 adj v $1.63e, R$31.2B v $30.9Be; -1.6% afterhours - VPRT: Reports Q2 $1.02 adj v $0.75e, R$348.3 v $332Me; -1.7% afterhours - WYNN: Reports Q4 $1.17 v $1.26e, R$1.29B v $1.28Be -0.7% afterhours -

 

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- FOMC Minutes
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  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


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