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Tuesday February 5, 2013 - 05:47:28 GMT
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TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: AUD/USD sinks below $1.04 as RBA leaves the door open to more easing***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com

- (AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) LEAVES CASH TARGET RATE UNCHANGED AT 3.00%, AS EXPECTED >- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC TRADE BALANCE (A$): -427M V -800ME (smallest deficit in 6 months; 12th month of deficit) - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 HOUSE PRICE INDEX Q/Q: 1.6% V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 2.1% V 0.9%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN AIG PERFORMANCE OF SERVICE INDEX: 45.3 V 43.2 PRIOR (12th month of contraction) - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS Q/Q: -0.4% V +0.4%E; PRIVATE WAGES EX-OVERTIME Q/Q: 0.5% V 0.5%E; PRIVATE WAGES INCLUDING OVERTIME Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E - (CN) CHINA JAN HSBC SERVICES PMI: 54.0 V 51.7 PRIOR (four-month high) - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES: $328.9B V $327.0B PRIOR - (PH) PHILIPPINES JAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) M/M: 0.5% V 0.6%E (5-month high); Y/Y: 3.0% V 3.0%E (3-month high); CORE CPI Y/Y: 3.6% V 3.1%E - (HK) HONG KONG JAN PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX (PMI): 52.5 V 51.7 PRIOR - (ID) INDONESIA Q4 GDP CONSTANT PRICE Q/Q: -1.4% V -1.3%E; Y/Y: 6.2% V 6.2%E; ANNUAL GDP 2012: 6.2% v 6.3%E - (IN) INDIA JAN MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 57.5 V 55.6 PRIOR (multi-month high) - (UK) UK JAN BRC SALES LFL Y/Y: 1.9% V 0.3% PRIOR (highest since Dec 2011) ***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:00 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -1.6% - S&P/ASX -0.4% - Kospi -0.7% - Shanghai Composite -0.4% - Hang Seng -1.7% - Mar S&P500 +0.1% at 1,495 - Apr gold -0.1% at $1,675/oz - Mar Crude Oil -0.1% at $96.06/brl ***Notes/Observations*** - RBA on hold at 3.00% as expected; Opens the door for more easing if conditions warrant, sending AUD/USD down over 50pips below $1.04 >- Australia Dec trade data shows narrowing deficit as higher iron ore prices send export component up 3% m/m and value of iron ore shipments up over 20% m/m - PBoC daily liquidity operation highest on record - 10yr JGB auction seeing weak demand after warning form Government Pension Investment Fund overnight. - Yum shares fall to 1-year lows afterhours after forecasting 2013 EPS decline due to poultry quality crisis in China. ***Currencies/Fixed Income/Commodities*** - (CN) China PBoC to offer CNY450B in 14-day reverse repos (largest one-day injection on record) - JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells 2.18T in 0.8% 10-yr notes; Avg yield: 0.795% v 0.822% prior; Bid to cover: 2.75x v 3.52x prior - SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,420 tons from 10,425 tons prior ***Speakers/Political/In the Papers*** - (CN) China National Bureau of Stats (NBS): China to widen PMI sample to better reflect manufacturing - financial press - (CN) China top four banks Jan new yuan loans seen around CNY370B - Chinese press - (CN) Analysts see China Jan CPI falling to 1.8% from 7-month high 2.5% in Dec as tighter food supply issues that exacerbated prior inflation data normalize - Shanghai Daily - (CN) China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): 2012 crude oil consumption increase accelerated 4.9% to 476.1M tons from 3.3% increase in 2011 - Shanghai Daily - (JP) Japan PM Abe: BoJ will decide policy; govt accord will not undermine BoJ independence - (SG) Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) Managing Director Menon: Need to avoid competitive devaluation and protectionist measures - financial press - (US) Goldman Chief Economist Hatzius: Fed will continue asset purchases in 2013, repeat of U.S. debt ceiling crisis looks likely, politics could boost European risk premium ***Equities*** - Itochu 8001.JP: Reports 9-month Net 208.1B v 218.9B y/y, Op Profit 164.2B v 208.8B y/y, Rev 9.27T v 8.83T y/y - Mitsubishi Mtoro 7211.JP: Reports 9-month Net 17.3B v 13.6B y/y, Op Profit 40.9B v 38.5B y/y, Rev 1.28T v 1.29T y/y - Mitsui Chem 4183.JP: Reports 9-month Net loss 9.7B v loss 0.2B y/y, Op Profit 2.5B v 27.6B y/y, Rev 1.01T v 1.10T y/y - JX Holding 5020.JP: Reports 9-month Net 91.9B v 158.8B y/y, Op Profit 135.0B v 234.5B y/y, Rev 8.05T v 7.79T y/y - COH.AU: Reports H1 Net A$77.7M v A$81Me, Rev A$391.7M v A$387.5M y/y - MQG.AU: Sees FY13 Net materially up y/y; FY13 results 10% above 2012 levels - QAN.AU: Does not plan to renew code-share agreement with British Airways - AFR - BA: Asks the FAA to allow 787 Dreamliner test flights, FAA likely to grant permission, could come as early as Monday evening - press - YUM: Reports Q4 $0.83 v $0.81e, R$4.15B v $4.13Be; cuts FY13 EPS guidance to "mid-single digit decline" vs. +10% prior guidance - BIDU: Reports Q4 $1.31 v $1.29e, R$1.02B v $939Me - HIG: Reports Q4 $0.54 v $0.29e, R$7.74B v $5.61Be; -0.7% afterhours -

 

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


Mon 20 Nov
14:00 EZ- Draghi Speech
15:00 US- Leading Indicators
Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- FOMC Minutes
Thu 23 Nov
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13:30 CA- Retail Sales
Fri 24 Nov
All Day flash PMIs
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
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  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


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John M. Bland, MBA
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