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Monday February 25, 2013 - 06:37:13 GMT
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| | Email What You Need to Know week of February 25th***Note: All Times are in New York/Eastern Time - Source

Over the Weekend*** - UK Gilts and financial companies are expected to be in focus on Monday's session, after Moody's cut the UK's sovereign rating from Aaa to Aa1. There has been ongoing press debate about whether or not the downgrade has already been priced into Gilts. Additionally, following the move by Moody's, various UK press reports suggested that Chancellor Osborne could be pressured to relax his fiscal consolidation plan. Dealers are now expected to focus on the March 20th budget statement for further clarity on the UK's fiscal outlook, as the country's sovereign outlook remains negative at S&P and Fitch. On the growth front, the second estimate of the UK's Q4 GDP is due to be released on Wed Feb 27th. DMO is not schedule to hold any bond auctions this week. - Italian elections: According to press reports the turnout for the elections may be lower than expected, amid reports that a large turnout could benefit Berlusconi and Grillo. An article in the FT suggested that many are expecting a close outcome. The polls are due to close at 3 pm (local time) on Monday and the results could come on Monday night or early Tuesday. - BoJ Governor Position: Press reports have suggested that the head of the Asia Development Bank Haruhiko Kuroda is believed to be the frontrunner for the BoJ governor position. An official announcement could come later this week. According to prior reports, Kuroda has been a proponent of aggressive easing measures. Outgoing BoJ Gov Shirakawa is due to step down on March 19th. - Fed Chair Bernanke is due to give his semi-annual economic testimony before Senate and House committees on Feb 26-27th, amid recent calls from some Fed officials for the QE program to be altered if economic conditions permit. Bernanke is also due to speak on Friday, March 1st. In comments made by Bernanke thus far in 2013 he has maintained that the US economy and labor market are recovering at only a slow pace. Additionally, Bernanke has downplayed any inflation risks related to the Fed's easing measures. - US fiscal debate: In terms of the US sequester, President Obama is still said to be open to negotiations related to the matter, while Republicans have been less flexible (FT). The sequester-related fiscal cuts are due to take effect, starting on March 1. ***Looking Ahead*** Mon, Feb 25th US: US Jan Chicago Fed National Activity Index, US Feb Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Notable US Earnings: Before open: CTB, DNDN, FE, HTZ, LOW ; After the close: CZR, EROC, KND, OKE, OKS Asia: Japan PM Abe to announce BoJ Gov selection any day this week; China HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI Notable Asia Earnings: NTT Data, MGX.AU Europe: Italian Elections, UK Bond issuance Notable EU Earnings: Associated British Foods, Bovis Homes, Dialight, Domino's Pizza, Hiscox, Pearson, Persimmon, Petra Diamonds, Senior, Sportingbet, Thorntons Tues, Feb 26th US: Bernanke speaks before the Senate, US Feb Consumer Confidence, US Jan New Home Sales, US Dec S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index Notable US Earnings: Before open: AZO, CBRL, ECL, EME, EXPD, HD, HFC, M, PCS, RSH, SKS, SRE, TDS, THC, USM; After the close: DWA, EIX, FSLR, LYV, PCLN, RRC, SPN, TIVO, WFT Asia: New Zealand Jan Trade Balance Notable Asia Earnings: none seen Europe: Riksbank Minutes Notable EU Earnings: Croda International, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Devro, Elementis, GKN, Goals Soccer Centres, Provident Financial, Redrow, Robert Walters, RSM Tenon, Whitbread, Wilmington, Fresenius, MedioBanca, BASF AG, Vivendi Universal, Lukoil OAO Wed, Feb 27th US: Bernanke speaks before the House, US Jan Durable Goods Orders; Durables Ex-Transportation, US Jan Pending Home Sales Notable US Earnings: AAPL shareholder meeting, Before open: AES, BYD, CNP, DANG, HII, JOY, KOF, NRG, RRC. TGT, TJX; After the close: BWC, CBI, FMX, GEF, GRPN, JCP, LINTA, LTD, MYL, PLL, RJET Asia: Australia Q4 Private Capital Expenditure; Private Sector Credit, New Zealand Feb ANZ Business Confidence; ANZ Activity Outlook Notable Asia Earnings: Orascom Construction Europe: Draghi speaks in Munich, France INSEE Consumer Confidence, EU Money Supply, Italy Business Confidence, UK GDP, EU Economic Sentiment Notable EU Earnings: Anheuser-Busch InBev, Bouygues SA, Ingenico, Man Group, Capital Shopping, Centrica, Henderson, Interserve, ITV, Oxford Biomedica, Vesuvius, Weir Thurs, Feb 28th US: US Q4 Second Reading GDP; GDP Price Index, US Initial/Continuing Jobless Claims, US Feb Chicago Purchasing Manager Notable US Earnings: Before open: BBY, BWC, CVC, KSS, PLL, SHLD, VC, WEN, WNR ; After the close: CRM, GPS, KOG, MCP, MDR, TEG, UHS Asia: China Feb HSBC Manufacturing PMI, China Feb Manufacturing PMI, India Q4 Quarterly GDP Notable Asia Earnings: none seen Europe: Spain Consumer Prices, Germany Unemployment, EU HICP, Germany Consumer Prices Notable EU Earnings: Aeroports de Paris, Bayer AG, Bankia, GDF Suez, Hochtief AG, Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Telekom AG, Seadrill, Areva, Thales SA, Luxottica Group Spa, Kier, Man Group, Reed Elsevier Fri, Feb 29th US: Canada Q4 Quarterly GDP Annualized; Gross Domestic Product, US Jan PCE Deflator; PCE Core, US Feb Final U of Michigan Confidence, US Feb ISM Manufacturing; ISM Prices Paid Notable US Earnings: Before open: FWLT, MGA, NA.CA, POM; After the close: none seen Asia: India Feb Markit Manufacturing PMI Notable Asia Earnings: none seen Europe: Germany retail sales, Ireland PMI Manufacturing, EU, UK PMI, Italy Consumer Prices, UK Mortgage Approvals Notable EU Earnings: Lloyds Banking, Rightmove, Taylor Wimpey, William Hill, WPP -


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