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Tuesday March 5, 2013 - 11:09:43 GMT
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TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Gains in US equities help push European markets to more than 4-year highs

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Gains in US equities help push European markets to more than 4-year highs
Tue, 05 Mar 2013 5:48 AM EST

***Notes/Observations***
- (UK) GBP/USD hits fresh session high above $1.5165 on better than expected PMI, continued on to $1.5199, reduces likelihood of triple dip recession; EUR/GBP hits 1-week low
- (GR) Greece has a solid bill auction selling 1.138B v 875M indicated, yield slightly lower
- (IT) Italy yields drop over 10bps, FTSE MIB outperforms
- (EU) Eurostoxx 50 hits highest level since Aug 2008
- (ES) Spain 10-yr yields continue to hover near 5%
- (EU) European corporate bond issuance picks up ahead of Thursday's central bank meetings.
- (CN) Shanghai equities rise over 2.3%, as property firms see slight rebound
- CN) China short-term money market rates decline over 100bps, as PBoC did not drain liquidity on today's session
- (CN) More Chinese officials express concern about inflation. Premier Wen noted that inflationary pressures are "large"
- (CN) China sets 2013 GDP growth target at 7.5% (unchanged from 2012)
- (AU) Commodity currencies supported by better than expected Australia retail sales and positive outlook from the RBA after leaving rates on hold; AUD/USD tests above 1.2530
- (SE) Swedish Krona hits 6-month high against the Euro on better than expected services PMI

***Indices***
- Indices: FTSE 100 +0.70% at 6,390, DAX +1.6% at 7,813, CAC-40 +1.3% at 3,759, IBEX-35 +1.1% at 8,334, FTSE MIB +1.8% at 15,813, SMI +1.1% at 7,670, S&P 500 Futures +0.20% at 1,529

- European equity markets are broadly higher, tracking the gains in US and Chinese equities. Italy's FTSE MIB has outperformed, amid the drop in Italian government bond yields. European banks are broadly firmer, led by Intesa, SocGen and UniCredit. Resources-related firms have tracked the rebound in commodity prices.

- UK Movers [Standard Chartered +3% (raised FY dividend)]
Germany movers [Deutsche Post +3.5% (Q4 results above ests), RWE +3.5% (FY results above ests), Deutsche Bank +2.5% (broker commentary),ThyssenKrupp +2.5% (broker commentary), Norma Group +2.5% (expected to be added to MDAX), BMW +2% (Jan-Feb sales), Hochtief +1.5% (broker commentary), Morphosys +1% (narrowed Q4 loss)]

***Currencies***
- EUR/USD: Currency markets saw a rather benign session early on. The pair rallied from 1.3025 to 1.3055 after the European peripheral bond markets opened higher, signaling the all clear for risk-on. Service PMI data had little effect on currencies until the German PMI, which came in slightly better than expected. This pushed the EUR from 1.3045 to 1.3060. Stronger Eurozone PMI Services pushed the pair to a session high of 1.3075 before retracing back to 1.3060. The pair continued to leak back towards the 1.3015 level headed into mid-day
- GBP/USD: The pair traded from 1.5130 to 1.5190 after better than expected UK Services PMI
- USD/JPY: Was little changed during the early Europe session trading within 15 pips of 93.00

***Fixed Income***
- (GR) GREECE DEBT AGENCY (PDMA) SELLS 1.138B V 875M INDICATED IN 26-WEEK BILLS; AVG YIELD 4.25% V 4.27% PRIOR; BID-TO-COVER: 1.64X V 1.68X PRIOR
- (AT) AUSTRIA DEBT AGENCY (AFFA) SELLS COMBINED 1.65B V 1.65B INIDICATED IN 2022 AND 2044 RAGB BONDS
- Sells 880M in 3.40% Nov 2022 RAGB; Avg Yield 1.726% v 1.934% prior; Bid-to-cover: 1.87x v 2.48x prior
- Sells 770M in 3.15% Jun 2044 RAGB Bonds; Avg Yield 2.88% v 2.889% prior; Bid-to-cover: 1.7x v 2.0x prior
- (EU) ECB ALLOTS 129.8B VS. 130BE IN 7-DAY MAIN REFINANCING TENDER AT FIXED 0.75%
- (UK) DMO SELLS 4.0B V 4.0B INDICATED IN 1.25% 2018 GILTS; AVG YIELD 1.041% V 1.277% PRIOR; BID-TO-COVER: 2.17X V 1.83X PRIOR; TAIL: 0.4BPS V 0.2BPS PRIOR

***Major Economic Data***
- (ES) SPAIN FEB SERVICES PMI: 44.7 V 45.8 PRIOR (1st monthly drop since Sep)
- (IT) ITALY FEB PMI SERVICES: 43.6 V 43.5E
- (FR) FRANCE FEB FINAL PMI SERVICES: 43.7 V 42.7E
- (DE) GERMANY FEB FINAL PMI SERVICES: 54.7 V 54.1E
- (EU) EURO ZONE FEB FINAL PMI SERVICES: 47.9 V 47.3E; PMI COMPOSITE: 47.9 V 47.3E
- (UK) FEB PMI SERVICES: 51.8 V 51.0E (highest reading since Sept 2012)
- (EU) EURO ZONE JAN RETAIL SALES M/M: 1.2% V +0.3%E; Y/Y: -1.3% V -2.9%E

***Looking Ahead***
- 06:30 (CL) Chile Jan Economic Activity Index M/M: No est v 1.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 4.7% prior
- 06:30 (US) Daily Libor Fixing
- 07:00 (EU) ECB allotment in 7-Day Term Deposit Tender; To drain 205.5b
- 07:30 (TR) Turkey Central Bank announces February Real Effective Exchange Rate
- 07:45 (US) Weekly ICSC Chain Store Sales
- 08:00 (BR) Brazil Feb PMI Services: No est v 54.5 prior
- 08:30 (UK) DMO announces size of 3.25% 2052 Gilt for auction on March 13th
- 08:55 (US) Weekly Redbook Retail Sales
- 09:00 (MX) Mexico Feb Consumer Confidence: No est v 100.0 prior
- 10:00 (US) Mar IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism: 49.0e v 47.3 prior
- 10:00 (US) Feb ISM Non-Manufacturing. Composite: 55.0e v 55.2 prior
- 11:00 (US) Fed to buy $2.75-3.50B in bonds
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell $45B in 4-Week Bills
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell $25B in 52-Week Bills
- 14:00 (US) Fed's Lacker speaks on Monetary Policy in Washington
- 16:30 (US) Weekly API Oil Inventory
- 19:30 (AU) Australia Q4 GDP Q/Q: 0.6%e v 0.5% prior; Y/Y: 3.0%e v 3.1% prior

 

 

 

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