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Thursday April 25, 2013 - 09:32:43 GMT
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U.K. GDP stronger than expected. U.S. weekly Jobless due
|U.K. GDP stronger than expected. U.S. weekly Jobless due|
25 April 2013 10:00 gmt
CALENDAR- North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Natural Gas, 7-yr Auction.
- HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Weekly Jobless
- U.S. Weekly Jobless data due today are always closely watched, but due to its volatility, only in the context of recent data.
- U.K. preliminary 1Q13 GDP advanced a stronger than expected 0.3% q/q +0.6% y/y, thanks in part to energy demand from the colder than usual winter. The U.K. thus was able to avoid a third recession.The GBPUSD has spiked higher n the news.
- German Chancellor Merkel today has been speaking and making it clear that her government will continue to favor European austerity heading into September German elections.
- Sentiment indicators this week have suggested that the German economy, the largest in the Eurozone, is weakening. Top forecasters are now increasingly expecting a 25bp rate cut (to 0.50%) in the ECB refi rate next Thursday. ECB officials appear to be discouraging that expectation.
- U.S. preliminary GDP is due on Friday. The BOJ decision earlier that day will be closely watched as well.
||JGB 0.60% +1bp
||Bund 1.27% +1bp
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John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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