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Friday April 26, 2013 - 15:50:03 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: US GDP Miss Heightens Fears of Spring Swoon US Market Update: US GDP Miss Heightens Fears of Spring Swoon Fri, 26 Apr 2013 11:23 AM EST ***Economic Data*** - (IE) Ireland Mar Retail Sales M/M: -1.9% v 0.0% prior; Y/Y: -3.6% v 0.1% prior - (FI) Finland Apr Business Confidence: -7 v -9 prior - (IN) India Forex Reserves w/e Apr 19th: $294.8B v $295.2B prior - (BR) Brazil Mar Manufacturing PPI M/M: 0.0% v -0.4% prior; Y/Y: 6.6% v 7.7% prior - (US) Q1 Advanced GDP Q/Q Annualized: 2.5% v 3.0%e; Personal Consumption: 3.2% v 2.8%e - (US) Q1 Advanced GDP Price Index: 1.2% v 1.3%e; Core PCE Q/Q: 1.2% v 1.1%e - (MX) Mexico Mar Preliminary Trade Balance: $1.7B v $0.4Be - (BR) Brazil Mar Total Outstanding Loans (BRL): 2.427T v 2.384T prior; M/M: 1.8% v 0.7% prior; Private Banks Lending: 1.246T v 1.231T prior; Personal Loan Default Rate: 7.6% v 7.7% prior - (US) Apr Final University of Michigan Confidence: 76.4 v 73.5e - (MX) Mexico Central Bank (Banxico) leaves Overnight Rate unchanged at 4.00%; as expected - Markets are not over-reacting to the US GDP surprise this morning, however analysts are visibily concerned about the downward trajectory of economic growth. The DJIA is steady at about +0.17%, while the S&P500 is down 0.20% and the Nasdaq is down 0.36%. - The first reading of US GDP was weaker than expected at +2.5%, although it was a big step up from Q4's anemic +0.4%. The consumer spending component of the report was +3.2%, beating estimates and growing at the fastest since late 2010. A big bump up in imports and declines in government spending impaired GDP, while inventory growth and especially farm inventories were strong points. - FX trading was a bit choppy this morning after the GDP reading, but major pairs remained well contained in recent ranges. Cable moved up to fresh six-week highs just shy of 1.5500 while the EUR/USD maintained a foothold above the 1.30 level. Spain updated its fiscal plans that officially delayed by two years the date by which Madrid would reach EU Commission deficit targets. The yen held firm after the BOJ left rates unchanged and said no members proposed any additional easing actions. - Shares of Amazon are down 6% this morning as investors look past the firm's Q1 headline earnings growth and EPS beat to focus on weaker Q2 guidance. Revenue and income guidance for Q2 was markedly weaker than expected. The firm's gross margin expanded nicely on a y/y basis, however operating margins were narrower both y/y and on a sequential basis. - Like Exxon, Chevron saw revenue under pressure from falling revenue and lower crude prices. The firm's production levels stayed basically flat and earnings widely topped expectations, although net income fell y/y. Shares of CVX are up 1% this morning. - Oil services firm National Oilwell Varco is off 2.5% after Q1 earnings and revenue missed expectations. The firms earnings fell 17% y/y and margins declined sharply. Executives warned that the North America market was softer than anticipated. - Starbucks did not have a terrible Q2 report: earnings met expectations, comps saw solid growth and full-year forecasts were revised higher. However a slight miss on revenue plus signs that growth in the firm's much-heralded grocery segment is flattening sent SBUX down as much as 3% after hours. Shares are retracing this morning, down only 1% as of writing. ***Looking Ahead*** - 15:00 (AR) Argentina Mar Supermarket Sales Y/Y: No est v 14.3% prior - (CO) Colombia Central Bank Interest Rate Decision: Expected to leave Overnight Lending Rate unchanged at 3.25% - (US) President Obama Hosts Jordan King Abdullah - (IC) Iceland Holds Parliamentary Elections


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