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Tuesday June 18, 2013 - 09:25:50 GMT
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German ZEW Survey mixed. U.K. inflation elevated. Fed Wednesday
|German ZEW Survey mixed. U.K. inflation elevated. Fed Wednesday|
18 June 2013 10:00 gmt
CALENDAR North America: US- CPI, Housing Starts/Permits, API Energy
- HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- CPI, Housing Starts
- The June German ZEW survey data were mixed many view it as a precursor of the respected IFO Survey.
- U.K. inflation data generally were higher than hoped for. Keep the BOE on the defensive.
- FT ran a story Monday indicating in their opinion the Fed could be more hawkish than expected. This was not a leak.
- The Fed policy decision and Bernanke press conference on Wednesday will be major events this week. Its not 100% certain, but Fed reporter Jon Hilsenrath, who can be a mouthpiece of the Fed, told the markets last week them not to expect much.
- Odds are the Bernanke press conference will be the most significant part of the Fed meeting, with the odds strongly favoring no policy changes. Note in the latest week that U.S. economic data has generally not showed much improvement. .
||JGB 0.83% -2bp
||Asia Close Higher|
||Bund 1.54% -2bp
||U.S. 2.14% -4bp
||U.S. Higher |
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John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release
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