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Mixed German ZEW. U.K. inflation elevated. Fed Wednesday
|Mixed German ZEW. U.K. inflation elevated. Fed Wednesday|
19 June 2013 00:00 gmt
CALENDAR Far East: CN- HSBC flash PMI .Europe: GB- BOE Minutes. North America: US- Mortgage Statistics, Weekly Crude, Fed Decision, Bernanke Press Conference
- HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- HSBC PMI, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Fed Decision. Bernanke Press Conference
- Weaker than expected U.S. housing data were a weight on the USD. from the U.S. Tuesday.
- The Fed policy decision and Bernanke press conference on Wednesday will be major events this week. Its not 100% certain, but Fed reporter Jon Hilsenrath, who can be a mouthpiece of the Fed, told the markets last week not to expect much.
- Odds are the Bernanke press conference will be the most significant part of the Fed meeting, with the odds strongly favoring no policy changes. Note in the latest week that U.S. economic data has generally not showed much improvement. .
- June German ZEW survey data were mixed. Many view it as a precursor of the respected IFO Survey in about a week..
- U.K. inflation data generally were higher than hoped for. They should keep the BOE on the defensive.
- FT ran a story Monday indicating in their opinion the Fed could be more hawkish than expected. This was not a leak.
||JGB 0.83% 0bp
||Asia Close Higher|
||Bund 1.53% -1bp
||Europe Mostly Higher|
||U.S. 2.18% +4bp
||U.S. Higher |
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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