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Monday July 1, 2013 - 05:01:55 GMT
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| | Email Asian Market Update: China Manufacturing PMIs hit 9-month lows; Japan's Tankan survey improves***Economic Data*** - Source

(CN) CHINA JUN HSBC FINAL MANUFACTURING PMI: 48.2 V 48.3E (9-month low) - (CN) CHINA JUN MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.1 V 50.1E (matches 9-month low) - (CN) CHINA MAY LEADING INDEX: 99.6 V 99.6 PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN Q2 TANKAN LARGE MANUFACTURING INDEX: 4 V 3E (9-quarter high); LARGE ALL INDUSTRIAL CAPEX: 5.5% V 2.9%E; LARGE MANUFACTURING OUTLOOK: 10 V 7E (5-year high) - (JP) JAPAN MAY LOANS & DISCOUNTS CORP: 2.1% V 1.4% PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN AIG PERFORMANCE OF MANUFACTURING INDEX (PMI): 49.6 V 43.8 PRIOR (17th straight month of contraction) - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN RPDATA-RISMARK HOUSE PX ACTUAL: +1.9% V -1.2% PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN TD SECURITIES INFLATION M/M: 0.0% V 0.2% PRIOR; Y/Y: 2.4% V 2.2% PRIOR - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 WESTPAC EMPLOYMENT CONFIDENCE INDEX: 104.2 V 100.7 PRIOR (highest level since Sept 2011) - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JUN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.4 V 51.1 PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JUN EXTERNAL TRADE BALANCE: $5.5B V $5.3BE - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JUN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) M/M: -0.1% V +0.0%E; Y/Y: 1.0% V 1.1%E - (UK) UK JUNE HOMETRACK HOUSING SURVEY M/M: 0.4% V 0.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 0.8% V 0.4% PRIOR - (ID) INDONESIA JUN HSBC-MARKIT MANUFACTURING PMI: 51.0 V 51.6 PRIOR - (ID) INDONESIA MAY TOTAL TRADE BALANCE: -$0.6B V -$0.5BE - (ID) INDONESIA JUN INFLATION M/M: 1.0% V 1.1%E; Y/Y: 5.9% V 6.1%E; CORE INFLATION Y/Y: 4.0% V 4.4%E - (VN) VIETNAM JUN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 46.4 V 48.8 PRIOR - (TW) TAIWAN JUN HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.5 V 47.1 PRIOR - (IL) ISRAEL MAY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 6.9% V 6.6% PRIOR ***Markets Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.5% - S&P/ASX -1.6% - Kospi -0.1% - Shanghai Composite -0.8% - Hang Seng closed - Sept S&P500 -0.3% at 1,594 - Aug gold +1.3% at $1,239/oz - Aug crude oil -0.3% at $96.28/brl ***Observations/Insights*** - "Millions" march in Egypt demanding PM Morsi steps down amid overall frustration with the Muslim Brotherhood ineptitude in restoring infrastructure. - Japan continues its run of solid economic data with multi-quarter highs in Tankan Manufacturing; Not expected to alter BOJ policy, but positive data correlates with success of Abenomics and, at this juncture, weaker yen. USD/JPY hit session highs post Tankan above 99.50. - China official and HSBC final manufacturing PMIs hit 9-month lows - former barely dodging contraction and latter holding steady from the "Flash" June PMI levels reported for the first half of the month. Stats bureau attributes seasonal factors to the decline, while Pres Xi talks down "growth targets" in favor of more "social development and "environmental quality." - AUD and NZD outperform against USD with a 0.4% rise above $0.9180 and $0.7770 respectively, shrugging China manufacturing malaise. Aug gold rebounds above $1,240, up $15 from the lows. ***Fixed Income/Commodities/Currencies*** - (KR) South Korea sells 3-yr govt Bonds, avg yield 2.914%; sells KRW650B in 30-yr govt Bonds, avg yield: 3.698% - (JP) Japan banks May JGB holdings -3.1% m/m to 151.3T - (AU) Australia Newcastle weekly coal exports for week ended July 1st 17th w/w: -24.8% ***Speakers/Political/In the Papers*** - (JP) Japan Econ Min Amari: Japan real economy is clearly recovering - (JP) Japan govt: Japan 2012 avg land prices -18% y/y (smallest decline in 5 years) - financial press - (JP) Japan coast guard detects four China vessels near disputed Senkaku Islands territory - financial press - (JP) Japan and South Korea foreign mins to hold talks this week on the sidelines of ASEAN - (JP) Ruling LDP widens lead to 31.1% (v 28.8% w/w) ahead of election in recent polls - Kyodo News - (CN) China Pres Xi: Govt officials should not be judged only on boosting GDP - financial press - (CN) China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) official Guan: Plans for potential capital outflow and the end of US QE - financial press - (CN) China June new home prices +0.77% m/m - - (CN) China State Council Development Research Center deputy director Liu Shijin: Sees China 2013-2014 GDP between 7-8%, changed into modest growth rate in 2015 - (CN) Bank of China chairman Li Lihui: Internationalization of Yuan is a gradual process; May take 15 years for Yuan to become one of world's major settlement and reserve currencies - Shanghai Daily - (CN) China may launch a "counterstrike" if it continues to see violation of its sovereignty claims in the South China Sea - People's Daily - (CN) China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) head Shang Fulin: Tight liquidity in the interbank market has started to ease; allow private capital to try to establish private financial institutions - Lujiazui Forum - (HK) Hong Kong Chief Exec Leung: striving to increase land supply; Managed to curb upward property price trend - (SG) Singapore Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA): Singapore Q2 private home prices +0.8% y/y v +0.6% y/y in Q1 - (AU) Australia PM Rudd: Unveils new cabinet; must continue to diversify the domestic economy - press conf - (AU) Moody's: Australia sovereign AAA rating supported by fundamentals; Stable Outlook - (NZ) According to, New Zealand June new property listings m/m: -18%; stock of unsold houses m/m: -2% - (KR) North Korea said to have deployed new rocket launchers along its border capable of hitting targets beyond Seoul - Korean press - (IN) India may ease FDI policies for foreign retailers - financial press - (EU) E&Y: ECB Asset Quality Review may force bank balance sheets to shrink by an additional 1.5T - (EG) Egypt army estimating "millions" of protesters on the streets across the country; Opposition leadership calling for marches to continue until PM Morsi steps down - financial press - (US) Financial blogs citing unnamed sources from Goldman Sachs forecasting the US nonfarm payrolls are likely to miss estimates - press - (US) US Treasury Secy Lew: Growth in the US next year will not have sequestered headwind ***Equities*** - BLY.AU: Exec: FY13 Rev, EBITDA views by analysts should be reduced; significant industry volatility continues - China Vanke 200002.CN: President Yu: China market is painful for developers in the next 2-3 years - TM: Vice President: Reviewing 2013 global sales and production plan - BBG.AU: Centerbridge Partners said to have bought A$80M of Billabong debt from lenders - AFR - 005930.KR: Said to be in plans to invest in mobile production in India - financial press - Source


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