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Slow Calendar starts the week. All eyes on Fed
|Slow Calendar starts the week. All eyes on Fed|
19 August 2013 00:00 gmt
CALENDAR: Far East: JP- Trade.
- HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: JP- Trade
- The USD has become highly sensitive to how economic data is impacting the fixed income markets. An important aspect of activity is how U.S. economic activity is affecting the outlook for a Fed tapering of its asset purchase program.
- Its pretty clear that the FOMC has become uncomfortable with all the paper it has been adding to its balance sheet and would like to exit the program as early as possible for that reason alone. Chairman Bernanke has been going to great pains to reassure the markets that a tapering of asset purchases does not imply a policy tightening.
- Markets are seeing a tapering of asset purchases as a policy tightening, and when the odds of such a move increase in response to data, the USD rises.
- The GBP has been improving on a fairly stady flow of positive U.K. data which have been driving Gilt yields higher.
- The week ahead starts off pretty slowly, but the second half of the period sees a number of flash PMI reports which are often used as an early short-hand indication of how various economies are performing.
- Some significant U.S. housing data are due. Key Canadian data are slated at the end of the period.
- For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar and see the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.
||JGB 0.76% +1bp
||Asia Close Lower|
||Bund 1.89% 0bp
||U.S. 2.83% +4bp
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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