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Monday August 19, 2013 - 14:49:11 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: Traders Hold Steady Ahead of FOMC, Jackson Hole

Monday, August 19, 2013 10:36:10 AM US Market Update: Traders Hold Steady Ahead of FOMC, Jackson Hole

***Economic Data***
- (BR) Brazil Aug Final IGP-M Inflation: 0.1% v 0.1%e
- (PL) Poland July Average Gross Wages M/M: +0.6% v -0.2%e; Y/Y: 3.5% v 2.8%e
- (PL) Poland July Employment M/M: 0.0% v 0.0%e; Y/Y: -0.7% v -0.7%e
- (RU) Russia July Real Retail Sales M/M: 2.6% v 2.1%e; Y/Y: 4.3% v 3.7%e
- (RU) Russia July Unemployment Rate: 5.3% v 5.5%e
- (RU) Russia July Real Disposable Income: 4.2% v 3.6%e
- (RU) Russia July Real Wages Y/Y: 6.6% v 5.8%e
- (RU) Russia July Investment in Productive Capacity: +2.5% v -1.4%e
- (CL) Chile Q2 GDP Q/Q: 0.5% v 0.6%e; Y/Y: 4.1% v 4.0%e
- (CL) Chile Q2 Current Account Balance: -$1.6B v -$3.8Be
- (BR) Brazil July Tax Collections (BRL): 94.3B v 95.0Be

- European equities are looking to close at or around their lows on moderate losses, with the exception of the DAX, which has recouped some losses.
US markets are up very modestly after last week's slide, while the yield on the 10-year UST has moved even higher, to 2.86%. As of writing, the DJIA is flat, the S&P500 is up 0.10% and the Nasdaq is up 0.44%.

- Euro began the NY morning on a firmer note against major pairs in the wake of the Bundesbank monthly report. Among other things, the Bundesbank said ECB forward guidance did not represent a change in its policy stance and that a rate hike was possible if inflation pressures emerged. EUR/USD has still been unable to break above the 1.34 level. Analysts point out that
Germany seemed to forget that it is part of a common monetary policy and that any rate hike would be a headwind for growth.

- Shares of the big banks are in the red this morning, led lower by JPMorgan. JPM is -1.5% in the early going. Over the weekend, there were reports that a
US banking regulator is probing the firm's hiring practices in China on reports it is hiring children of influential Chinese officials to secure business. Banks commonly hire people with government connections, but this is especially prevalent in China.

- Analyst talk about Apple's forthcoming product announcements in early September is heading up. KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said that Apple would ship 8.4M units of its lower-priced "iPhone 5C" model and 5.2M units of its anticipated "iPhone 5S" model in the Sept quarter. Problems with the rumored fingerprint sensor in the latter will limit shipments at first, but in the December quarter shipments of "iPhone 5S" will reach 28M units.

- Independent oil exploration and production company Cobalt International Energy is down big this morning after warning that it did not find oil in a well in the
Gulf of Mexico. Results at a West African well were more positive. The deepwater Gulf of Mexico-located Ardennes #1 exploratory well, of which Cobalt owns a 42% interest, was dry. Shares of CIE are down 14%.

***Looking Ahead***
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell combined $55B in 3-Month and 6-Month Bills
- 12:30 (DE) Germany Fin Min Schaeuble speaks at CDU Election Event, Huellhorst
- 13:00 (DE) German Chancellor Merkel holds Campaign Rally in Regensburg
- 21:30 (AU) RBA Policy August Minutes


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