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Tuesday August 27, 2013 - 15:40:49 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: Waiting for the Bombs to Fall on Syria US Market Update: Waiting for the Bombs to Fall on Syria
Tue, 27 Aug 2013 11:25 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (BR) Brazil Aug FGV Construction Costs M/M: 03% v 0.2%e
- (TR) Turkey Aug Industrial Confidence Index: 107.5 v 108.7 prior; Capacity Utilization: 75.5% v 75.5% prior
- (US) ICSC Chain Store Sales w/e Aug 24th: w/w +0.2%; Y/Y: +1.9%
- (HU) Hungary Central Bank (NBH) cuts Base Rate by 20bps to 3.80%, more than expected
- (US) July Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index: 95.8 v 96.0
- (US) Redbook Retail Sales w/e Aug 24th +3.8% y/y, Aug MTD: 0.3% m/m; Aug YTD: +3.7% y/y;
- (US) S&P/CaseShiller 20 City M/M: 0.89% v 1.00%e; Y/Y: 12.07% v 12.10%e; Home Price Index:159.54 v 159.30e
- (US) S&P/CaseShiller House Price Index Y/Y: 10.08% v 10.17% prior; HPI: 146.32 v 136.7 prior
- (EU) Weekly ECB Forex Reserves: 211.5B v 211.3B prior
- (US) Aug Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index: 14 v 0e
- (US) Aug Consumer Confidence Index: 81.5 v 79.0e

- The Syria situation is dominating markets this morning, with an attack by the western powers looking all but inevitable at this point. Conflicting headlines suggest that US sources have told the Syria opposition to expect an attack as early as Thursday, while others say the Obama Administration has not yet made up its mind whether or not to pull the trigger. As of writing, the DJIA is down 0.60%, the S&P500 has given up 0.92% and the Nasdaq is off 1.10%

- The August consumer confidence index gained over the July result and topped expectations, however the present situation component fell from 73.7 to 70.7, its biggest drop since January. The June S&P/Case Shiller home price index was up very incrementally from May levels. The Richmond Fed survey surged to 14, its biggest beat since April 2010 and its highest level since January 2011.

- Gold continues to push out to fresh highs as risk assets sell off. Spot gold was trading around $1,424 but has since backed off slightly to $1420, up 1.9% on the day. Gold last saw these levels in early May. The yield on the 10-year UST remains firmly below 2.8%. WTI crude has equaled the highs of early 2011, trading around $109.30, up 3% on the day. Emerging market currencies continued to get battered. Both Turkey Lira and India rupee continues to hit fresh record lows against the dollar.

- Troubled solar name LDK Solar disclosed pretty terrible second-quarter results early this morning. Revenue declined further, the quarterly loss was bigger than expected and margins remain deep in the red. Additionally, on the conf call executives said the company does not have sufficient cash to make a coupon payment due on Wednesday and is working with some banks on a capital injection. Shares of LDK are down more than 13% this morning. ADRs of other Chinese solar names are down 5-6% in sympathy.

***Looking Ahead***
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell $50B in 4-week Bills
- 12:00 (FR) France July Net Change in Jobseekers: No est v 14.9K prior; Total Jobseekers: No est v 3.279M prior
- 12:45 (CA) Bank of Canada Dep Gov Murray speaks at CABE
- 13:00 (US) Treasury to sell $34B in 2-Year Notes
- 13:30 (BR) Brazil to sell I/L 2018 and 2022 Bonds
- 15:00 (AR) Argentina July Supermarket Sales Y/Y: No est v 17.9% prior
- 15:00 (AR) Argentina July Shop Center Sales Y/Y: No est v 11.7% prior
- 16:30 (US) Weekly API Crude Oil Inventories




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