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Tuesday November 12, 2013 - 16:36:47 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: Taper Talk Dampens Risk Appetite US Market Update: Taper Talk Dampens Risk Appetite
Tue, 12 Nov 2013 11:18 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (PT) Bank of Portugal reports Oct ECB financing to Portuguese banks at 50.5B v 51.9B prior (first decline in five months)
- (IL) Israel Oct Trade Balance: -$1.2B v -$1.5B prior
- (PT) Portugal Oct CPI M/M: 0.0% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: -0.2% v 0.1%e
- (PT) Portugal Oct CPI EU Harmonized M/M: -0.1% v +0.1%e; Y/Y: 0.0% v 0.2%e
- (EU) OECD Sept Leading Indicators: 100.7 v 100.6 prior
- (IN) India Oct CPI Y/Y: 10.1% v 9.9%e
- (IN) India Sept Industrial Production Y/Y: 2.0% v 3.5%e
- (US) Oct NFIB Small Business Optimism: 91.6 v 93.5e
- (PL) Poland Sept Current Account Balance: -1.0B v -823Me; Trade Balance: 673m v 477Me; Exports: 13.9B v 13.8Be; Imports: 13.2B v 13.3Be
- (US) Sept Chicago Fed National Activity Index: 0.14 v 0.15e
- (US) Redbook Retail Sales w/e Nov 9th: +3.3% y/y, Nov MTD: -0.8% m/m

- European indices sank into negative territory overnight after a brace of unsettling October inflation reports. In the US, traders are talking about the weak secondary data out this morning plus Dallas Fed President Fisher's taper talk. As of writing, the DJIA is down 0.20%, the S&P500 is down 0.19% and the Nasdaq is down 0.16%.

- The National Federation of Independent Business reported small-business optimism dropped in October after the government shutdown, falling to 91.6 from 93.3 in September, the lowest reading since April.

- The weakest UK CPI reading in a year has pushed cable to its lowest level in two months. GBP/USD tested as low as 1.5850 before recouping losses.

- Overnight, Fed hawk Fisher warned in a speech in Australia that Fed monetary accommodation was growing riskier by the day and may be approaching a tipping point. In addition, he said that recent jobs data has not been all that bad. This morning, former chief White House economist Austan Goolsbee said he believed there was a 50% chance that Fed might start to taper in December. Note that Fed Chairman designate Yellen will testify before the Senate on Thursday.

- Dean Foods is down 7% after offering weak Q4 and FY13 guidance with earnings. Dean warned that the dairy commodity environment looks more challenging than previously thought as prices remain stubbornly high despite strong domestic production growth.

- Shares of independent driller InterOil are up 16% this morning. With quarterly earnings, the firm disclosed that it has received several offers from oil majors for the assets it has up for sale and could announce a deal by year's end. Recall that back in August, Exxon ended formal acquisition talks with InterOil, although the company asserted that informal negotiations were continuing.

- Healthcare diagnostics firm Hologic is down 16% this morning after the company offered Q1 amd FY14 guidance that was way below par with its Q4 quarterly results. Multiple analysts have cut ratings and price targets on the name.

***Looking Ahead***
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell combined $60B in 3-Month and 6-Month Bills
- 13:00 (US) Fed's Kocherlakota speaks on Monetary Policy in St. Paul, MN
- 13:00 (US) Treasury to sell $30B in 3-Year Notes
- 13:50 (US) Fed's Lockhart Speaks on Economy in Montgomery, Alabama
- 15:00 (NZ) New Zealand Central Bank (RBNZ) Financial Stability Report
- 15:00 (NZ) New Zealand Central Bank (RBNZ) Financial Stability Report
- 16:45 (NZ) New Zealand Oct Food Prices M/M: No est v 0.0% prior




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Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
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Thu 18 Oct 2018
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