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Monday December 9, 2013 - 20:28:29 GMT
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U.K data are set for release on Tues. No high-impact data due
|U.K data are set for release on Tues. No high-impact data due|
10 December 2013 00:00 gmt
| CALENDAR: Europe: GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output, Trade North America: US- Wholesale Inventories, 3-yr auction, API Energy|
| EURUSD 1.3735
|| U.S. 2.86% -3bp
|| North America: Higher|
| EURJPY 141.78
|| Bund 1.85% 0bp
|| DE: DAX: Higher|
| GBPUSD 1.6424
|| GILT 2.92% +1bp
|| GB: FTSE:Higher|
| USDJPY 103.20
|| JGB 0.66% -3bp
|| Asia Close Higher|
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output, Trade, US- 3-yr Auction
- We feel the Fed will wants to see more data before it starts to "taper" its Asset Purchase program. The only key piece of U.S. data this week is Retail Sales data on Friday..We think the Fed will not make a major policy move before January 30, two days before Bernanke retires.
- March 20 is the first meeting with Janet Yellen at the helm. The March meeting is the next time a press conference scheduled. The Yellen final Senate confirmation vote may be on Friday December 20.
- We currently think a tapering would be worth about 3.00% in the 10-yr (last 2.850%). How that instrument behaves tells us a lot about what the markets are expecting.
- This week sees a number of data releases but we do not expect many of them to be market-moving. The Swiss National Bank and Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce their latest policy decisions. Australian jobs data are due and the mid-month period usually sees the bulk of key U.K. data.
- See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.. For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service.. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
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John M. Bland, MBA
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
- POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release
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