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U.K. Jobs data strong Bank of Canada dovish. Hot Australia CPI
|U.K. Jobs data strong Bank of Canada dovish. Hot Australia CPI|
23 January 2014 00:00 gmt
CALENDAR: Far East: CN- HSBC PMI, EZ/DE/FR flash PMIs, EZ- Consumer Confidence US- Weekly Jobs, Markit PMIs, Existing Homes Sales, Leading vindicators, Nat Gas, Weekly Crude, CA- Retail Sales
| EURUSD 1.3545
|| U.S. 2.85% +1bp
|| North America: Steady|
| EURJPY 141.35
|| Bund 1.75% +1bp
|| DAX: Steady|
| GBPUSD 1.6549
|| GILT 2.88% +4bp
|| FTSE: higher|
| USDJPY 104.35
|| JGB 0.68% -1bp
|| Far East Close: Higher|
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- HSBC PMI, EZ/DE/FR flash PMIs, EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- Weekly Jobs, Markit PMIs, Existing Homes Sales, Leading vindicators, CA- Retail Sales
- Key U.K.Jobs data for December were stronger than forecast, The unemployment rate at 7.10% moved into range of the previous 7.0% policy threshold of the BOE. The GBP is higher and gilt yields have risen. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.
- The Bank of Canada kept policy steady as expected on Wednesday. Markets were not surprised by its dovish posture but took special note of its apparent lack of concern about recent CAD weakness. The CAD is weaker. No rate changes are expected, but a dovish policy stance is probable. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.
- Australia 4Q13 CPI data were hotter than expected and might have taken a rate cut off the table. Aus 10-yr yields are higher and the AUD has risen n response to developments.
- Fed policy is very much data-dependent. That will not change when Yellen takes the helm from Bernanke in just under two weeks. Friday was the major data day of the past week. Housing Starts and Permits for December provide an advance look at the critical (for job creation) housing industry and they are now showing little improvement from the middle of 2013.
- U.S. data recently has been sending mixed signals. Key housing and the University of Michigan survey data seem to be indicating that the real-time economy might be flattening out while other recently-released data have been suggesting the economy continues to recover.
- Flash PMI's for a slew of counties will be out on Thursday. Friday will see see CPI figures from Canada. For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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