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Monday February 17, 2014 - 16:47:22 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: Little catalysts seen with US closed for holiday US Market Update: Little catalysts seen with US closed for holiday
Mon, 17 Feb 2014 11:31 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (BR) Brazil Feb FGV Inflation IGP-10 M/M: 0.3% v 0.3%e
- (RU) Russia Jan Industrial Production Y/Y: -0.2% v +1.0%e
- (PL) Poland Jan YTD Budget Balance Level (PLN): -2.6B; Budget Balance Performance: 5.6%

US markets closed for holiday

Indices [Stoxx50 unchanged at 3,118, FTSE 100 +1.1% at 6,736, DAX little changed at 9,660, CAC-40 -0.1% at 4,334, IBEX-35 -0.1% at 10,126, FTSE MIB +0.2% at 20,478, SMI -0.1% at 8414, S&P 500 Futures +0.1 at 1,837]

- PD chief Renzi formally receives mandate from President Napolitano to form new govt
- ECB's Nowotny commented that the ECB would not cut Deposit Rate without cutting the Main Refi Rate as well
- German Bundesbank stated that it was open to adjustment of SMP bond sterilization. It noted that German economy to benefit from increased foreign demand and this would fully show up in Q1 GDP data
- German Bundesbank's Dombret stated that real estate was not an issue at this time but could not rule out a property bubble if interest rates remained low
- Spain Fin Min de Guindos: Consequences of the internal devaluation are unknown but it has improved the country's competitiveness, Current emerging market situation would not rival the rout seen back in late 1990s'. Fed tapering was 'god news' as it showed a return to normalization
- Ireland Fin Min Noonan: Confidence is returning to Irish banks. Europe also needs non-bank credit to increase economic growth
- Canada official on upcoming G20 meeting in Sydney: Will discuss monetary policy normalization (**Reminder: G20 Finance Ministers meet in Sydney on Friday, Feb 21st)
- India Fin Min Chidambaram: To look into relaxing gold import curb

Fixed Income:
- (SK) Slovakia Debt Agency (ARDAL) sold total 281M in 2018 and 2023 bonds
- (HU) Hungary Debt Agency (AKK) sold HUF70B vs. HUF60B indicated 6-month bills; Yield: 3.04% v 3.06% prior; bid-to-cover: 2.13x v 2.14x prior
- (NL) Netherlands Debt Agency (DSTA) sold total 2.22B vs. 2.0-4.0B indicated range in 3-month and 6-month Bills
- (BE) Belgium Debt Agency sold total 3.5B vs. 2.5-3.5B indicated range in 2019, 2024 and 2041 OLO bonds
- (RO) Romania sold RON500M vs. RON500M indicated in Bonds; Yield: 4.08%
- (FR) France Debt Agency (AFT) sold approx. 8.18B vs. 7.0-8.2B indicated range in 3-month, 6-month and 12-month Bills

- FX price action was extremely quiet with US participants out for President Day holiday. Overall the greenback was at six-week lows againt the Euro. The GBP/USD was off over 100 pips from overnight highs. Dealers noted that GBP profit taking seen might be anticipating some slightly weaker data in coming days.
euro zone periphery continued to see lower bond yields. Italy 10-year govt yields hit 8-yearr low aided by the upgrade in its sovereign outlook by Moody's late Friday and optimism that PD chief Renzi can form a govt to speed up his planned reforms.
Looking ahead, the focus in Asia will be on the BOJ rate decision. Japan's Q4 preliminary GDP data on Monday showed the economy growing at slower pace, and noe raising the stakes for Abenomics

***Looking Ahead***
All times listed for economic events are denominated in Eastern Standard Time (Add 5 hours for GMT equivalent)
- (EU) Euro-Area Finance Ministers meet in Brussels
- (EU) ECB's Draghi to EcoFin in Brussels
- 16:00 (CO) Colombia Dec Retail Sales Y/Y: 5.1%e v 5.3% prior
- 16:00 (CO) Colombia Dec Industrial Production Y/Y: +0.8%e v -0.6% prior
- 19:30 (AU) RBA Minutes of February Meeting
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Statement




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