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Tuesday March 11, 2014 - 15:05:13 GMT
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| | Email US Market Update: Stocks find little in the way of traction as corporate outlooks remain subdued US Market Update: Stocks find little in the way of traction as corporate outlooks remain subdued
Tue, 11 Mar 2014 10:44 AM EST

***Economic Data***
- (CH) Swiss Parliament spring session Bern
- (AU) RBA's Philip Lowe speaks at Sydney Institute
- (EU) EU, U.S. hold Trade talks in Brussels thru Friday
- (GR) Greece Q4 Final GDP Y/Y: -2.3% v -2.6%e
- (US) Feb NFIB Small Business Optimism: 91.4 v 93.8e
- (RU) Russia Feb Light Vehicle Car Sales Y/Y: -2% v -2%e
- (US) ICSC Chain Store Sales w/e Mar 8th: w/w +1.3%; y/y: +2.1%
- (BR) Brazil Jan Industrial Production M/M: 2.9% v 2.5%e; Y/Y: -2.4% v -3.4%e
- (US) Redbook Retail Sales w/e Mar 8th +2.5% y/y, Mar MTD: -0.7% m/m

- 09:30 (BR) Brazil Feb Vehicle Production: 281.4K v 237.5K prior; Vehicle Sales: K v 312.6K prior; Vehicle Exports: K v 25.8K prior
- 10:00 (US) Jan Wholesale Inventories M/M: 0.6% v 0.4%e; Wholesale Trade Sales M/M: -1.9% v 0.2%e
- 10:00 (US) Jan JOLTs Job Openings: 3.97M v 4.015Me
- 10:00 (MX) Mexico Dec Gross Fixed Investment: 0.7% v +0.1%e
- 10:00 (BR) Brazil Jan CNI Capacity Utilization: 82.7% v 81.2%e

- Stocks have little in the way of top tier data to trade off of and movement has been sporadic and mostly company specific. The DAX is leading the way higher in Europe up 0.8% while major US indices are posting marginal gains. US and German government bond markets are seeing some modest selling pressure pushing up yields a couple basis points. The BUND/UST spread widened out to the largest levels in years once again which may have induced some technical selling along the German curve. Copper prices fight to hold the $3.00 mark ahead of more China data later this week.

- The business of selling US teen apparel continues to frustrate investors. Urban Outfitters lost more than 5% after Q4 results missed expectations on the topline and management noted they remained very cautious regarding Q1 performance. Similarly, American Eagle Outfitters met already lowered Q4 expectations and said Q1 SSS would be down in the high single digits. Shares lost another 6% after Q4 margins contracted 1000 basis points y/y.

- The effects of the harsh North American winter maintain a prominent role in corporate outlooks as Q1 draws towards a close. Dupont noted Q1 revenue and earnings growth will be challenged by the extended cold temperatures and winter storms in North America, business disruptions in the Ukraine, and farmer uncertainty which may impact the timing of sales and potential changes in planted area in agriculture. Union Pacific sated they expected weather specifically to impact Q1 negatively by $0.03-0.04 at a JP Morgan investor conf.

- Various ECB members (Noyer, Lautenschlaeger and Constancio) have remained vocal by trying to clarify the ECB's stance after last week's disappointment when the central bank did not announce any new measures to address deflation. On the backs of that commentary EUR/USD continues to languish below the re-drawn 6-year downtrend line (come in at 1.3915)

- Focus remains on the JPY currency after participants argued that the BoJ would have to eventually do more to support the economy once the sales tax increase was implemented next month. The last time VAT was hiked back in 1997 sent the Japanese economy into a tailspin. USD/USD steady at 103.25 area

***Looking Ahead***
All times listed for economic events are denominated in Eastern Standard Time (Add 4 hours for GMT equivalent)
- (MX) Mexico Feb Same-Store Sales Y/Y: No est v -1.7% prior
- 10:00 (US) Jan Wholesale Inventories M/M: 0.4%e v 0.3% prior; Wholesale Trade Sales M/M: 0.2%e v 0.5% prior
- 10:00 (US) Jan JOLTs Job Openings: 4.015Me v 3.990M prior
- 10:00 (MX) Mexico Dec Gross Fixed Investment: +0.1%e v -4.5% prior
- 10:00 (BR) Brazil Jan CNI Capacity Utilization: 81.2%e v 81.4% prior
- 10:00 (EU) Weekly ECB Forex Reserves:
- 10:30 (CA) Canada to sell 3-month, 6-month and 12-month Bills
- 10:45 (BOE to buy 1.35B in APT operation with residual maturity over 15 years
- 11:00 (US) Feb to purchase $1.00-1.25B in bonds
- 11:00 (UK) Feb NIESR GDP Estimate: No est v 0.8% prior
- 11:30 (US) Treasury to sell $35B in 4-Week Bills
- 12:00 (US) DOE Short-Term Crude Outlook
- 13:00 (US) Treasury to sell $30B in 3-Year Notes
- 16:30 (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories




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