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Active Calendar into Friday's Holiday Break. All Eyes are on Equities
|Active Calendar into Friday's Holiday Break. All Eyes are on Equities|
April 14, 2014 00:00 gmt
CALENDAR: EZ- Industrial Production, US- Retail Sales, Business Inventories
| EURUSD 1.3890
|| U.S. 2.62% -1bp
|| North America: Lower|
| EURJPY 141.04
|| Bund 1.51% -1bp
|| DAX: Lower|
| GBPUSD 1.6745
|| GILT 2.61% -1bp
| USDJPY 101.53
|| JGB 0.61% 0bp
|| Far East Close: Lower|
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: EZ- Industrial Production, US- Retail Sales
- Fed Minutes from Wednesday of last week illustrated the impossibility of central Bank calendar-related rate guidance. The basic message of the Fed Minutes seems to have been that Yellen's comment that rates could start to rise six months after the end of the asst purchases taper had been made off the cuff and was not policy.
- As a result the yield on the 10-yr note fell to as low as 2.62% in the latest week. Recall the 10-yr spiked to 3.00% when the "tapering" was first announced. Traders will have to be cognizant of the general pattern of economic data for major economies.
- The other key development last week was the correction in equity prices led by a decline in the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ had become heavily overbought led by the booming biotech industry, but apparently prices had gotten heavily overbought and were ripe for a correction.
- This week is dominated by holidays related to Passover and Easter. Friday (Good Friday) will be a holiday for many markets. Data news highlights this week include U.S. Retail Sales data on Monday and the German ZEW Survey and Inflation data from the U.S., U.K. and N.Z. Tuesday.
- Wednesday will be busy with Chinese GDP, U.K. employment, EZ final CPI (HICP), U.S. Housing Starts/Permits, and a Bank of Canada rate decision. Thursday sees Canadian CPI data before the holiday break.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released. See the FOREX FORUM. for comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Expert Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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