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One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer
|One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer|
April 28 2014 00:00 gmt
CALENDAR: JP- Retail Sales.US- Pending Home Sales
| EURUSD 1.3833
|| U.S. 2.67% -2bp
|| North America: Lower|
| EURJPY 141.32
|| Bund 1.48% -4bp
|| DAX: Lower|
| GBPUSD 1.6799
|| GILT 2.65% -5bp
|| FTSE: Lower|
| USDJPY 102.15
|| JGB 0.63% 0bp
|| Far East Close: Mixed|
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Retail Sales, US- Pending Home Sales
- We expect no surprises from the FOMC Wednesday. Another $10 bln cut in the monthly Asset Purchase Program to $45bln is assured. There is no press conference afterwards, so we will have only the official statement as an explanation of the policy decision. Chair Yellen will speak publicly on Thursday.
- The latest Employment Report (April) will not be released until Friday. The U.S. Employment data will be the major focus as the impact of the severe winter weather continues to work its way out of the data. Up until now the pace of improvement in the jobs statistics has been disappointingly slow. We note also that national housing statistics have been shockingly poor as well.
- The Fed has price stability and full-employment as its twin mandates. An unexpected surge in job creation could provide equities with a needed shot in the arm.
- The week ahead sees a lot of high-impact data. Monday sees Retail Sales data from Japan, and. U.S. Pending Homes sales are a reliable predictor of Existing Homes Sales. Tuesday sees U.K. GDP and the Conference Board consumer Sentiment Survey.
- High-Imp[act data Wednesday will be flash Eurozone inflation, which could impact the ECB decision a week from now and German Retail Sales. U.S. ADP data affect the outlook for the Friday Jobs report.
- Thursday sees the Manufacturing PMI data for a number of economies. Fed Chair Yellen speaks as well. Friday sees the April U.S. Jobs report.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released. See the FOREX FORUM. for comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
FX Trade Talk: What's moving markets-- Expert Commentary, data. and data charts posted continuously on FOREX FORUM
John M. Bland, an author and a founding partner of Global-View.com, has been a corporate FX consultant for a major N.Y. bank, a forex trader for a major N.Y. institution, and an FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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