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Thursday June 5, 2014 - 09:11:25 GMT -

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ECB Policy Easing Due. No Changes Seen from BOE

ECB Policy Easing Due. No Changes Seen from BOE
June 5, 2014 09:30 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

  • Yields in European prime fixed income markets are slightly lower heading into the ECB policy decision today. higher.. Markets should be set up now for a modest  ECB policy ease Thursday. Yields on bonds on the periphery of the Eurozone are lower as well. U.S. Treasury yields are down.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East earlier.  European bourses are mixed. U.S. equity futures are about steady.
  • The U.S.10-yr is 2.59%, +2bp.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS:, BOE Decision,  ECB Decision, US- Weekly Jobless, CA- Ivey PMI

  • The major focus today  is the ECB meeting. Forward guidance from ECB confirms that some sort of easing by the central bank is in store, but some worry that will be forthcoming from the central bank is a reduction in interest rates.
  • Most will be focused mainly on the tone of his comments and on any suggestion that the central bank could be open for further action later this year. The concern of many is that a slight reduction in near-zero interest rates will only have a psychological impact.
  • Nothing new is expected from the Bank of England policy decision today..
  • U.S. ADP data Tuesday weaker than forecast. The problem is the ADP report is not a reliable predictor of NFP. On the other hand, the Markit and ISM Service PMIs are pointing in the direction of economic growth.
  • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen. 
  • The U.S. data calendar for today is relatively  light. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    Five Day Trading Planner

    THURSDAY 5 June 2014.
    United Kingdom
    Bank of England Decision- No policy change expected.
    European central Bank Decision- Policy easing priced in.
    United States
    Jobless Claims- Focus on the 300K level.
          FRIDAY 6 June 2014.
          United Kingdom
          Trade- GBP Sensitive to this statistic
          United States
          Employment - Most important statistic of the month
         MONDAY 9 June 2014
         No Major Data
         TUESDAY 10 June 2014

Time   Country Title Cons Last
05/06/14 11:00 GB Bank of England 0.50% 0.50%
05/06/14 11:00 GB QE GBP bn 375 375
05/06/14 11:45 EZ Europe Cntl Bank 0.25% 0.25%
05/06/14 12:30 EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
05/06/14 12:30 US Initial Claims 313 300
05/06/14 12:30 US Cont Claims 2.625 2.631
05/06/14 14:00 CA Ivey PMI n/a 54.1
05/06/14 14:30 US Nat Gas bcf n/a 114
06/06/14 0:00 FRIDAY
06/06/14 5:00 JP Lead Ind Aprp 106.2 107.1
06/06/14 7:00 DE Ind Output Apr yy 2.70% 3.00%
06/06/14 7:00 DE Trade Apr eur bn 15.1 16.4
06/06/14 7:15 CH CPI mm Apr n/a 0.10%
06/06/14 7:15 CH CPI yy n/a 0.00%
06/06/14 8:30 GB Visible Trade- Apr -8.65 -8.48
06/06/14 8:30 GB Trade- Non-EU -3.15 -3.19
06/06/14 9:00 EZ PPI mm Apr 0.20% 0.20%
06/06/14 9:00 EZ PPI yy -1.20% -1.60%
06/06/14 12:30 CA Jobless % 6.90% 6.90%
06/06/14 12:30 CA Payrolls 21.3 -28.9
06/06/14 12:30 US Jobless % 6.40% 6.30%
06/06/14 12:30 US Payrolls 219 288
06/06/14 12:30 US Priv Jobs 215 273
06/06/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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