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Trade Should Return to Normal on Tuesday. Quiet Calendar Week

Trade Should Return to Normal on Tuesday. Quiet Calendar Week
June 10, 2014 00:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

  • Yields in European fixed income markets have continued to converge with German yields up slightly while yields on the periphery continue to fall sharply in the wake of the targeted ECB policy ease last week. 
  • U.K. yields are higher from the open  along with The U.S.. Many Continental centers were  closed  for Whit Monday, but electronic trade for some was open.The U.S. 10-yr is 2.63% +3bp.
  • Equities closed broadly higher in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are mixed. U.S. equities are modestly higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS:  CN- CPI, GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output, 3-yr Auction
  • After holidays in a lot of Europe Monday, markets will return to full strength on Tuesday Traders generally took a neutral posture heading into week with not much in the way of major scheduled news events.
  • Most analysts say the May U.S. jobs data were solid with an employment gain in excess of 200K. Nevertheless. the report is unlikely to trigger  Fed action of any type. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen. 
  • The ECB delivered all that was expected on last Thursday.  We feel its easing decision will weigh on the EUR over time, but the current market tends to move on its own time schedule.
  • Tuesday's economic calendar is relatively light.. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.  


     TUESDAY 10 June 2014
    • China - CPI always closely watched
    • GB- Ind/Mfg Output- Key Production measures 
    • United States- Wholesale Inventories- impact GDP calc
    • United States- 3-yr Auction

    WEDNESDAY 11 June 2014
    • GB- Employment- measures mfg activity
    • United States- 10-yr Auction- confidence measure

    THURSDAY 12 June 2014
    • Australia- Employment- Key growth measure
    • United States- Weekly Jobs- Employment stat
    • United States- Retail Sales- Consumer is king

    FRIDAY 13 June 2014
    • Japan- BOJ - No rate change
    • United States- PPI-  Part of the picture
    • United States- Univ of Mich Survey prelim-  Key data

    Time   Country Title Cons Last
    10/06/14 1:30 CN Apr CPI 2.40% 1.80%
    10/06/14 8:30 GB Ind Output m 0.40% 0.90%
    10/06/14 8:30 GB Ind Output y 2.80% 2.30%
    10/06/14 8:30 GB Mfg Output m 0.40% 0.50%
    10/06/14 8:30 GB Mfg Output yy 4.00% 3.30%
    10/06/14 14:00 US Wholesale Inventories 0.60% 1.10%
    10/06/14 17:00 TRY TRY 3-yr n/a n/a
    10/06/14 20:30 US API Energy n/a n/a
    11/06/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY
    11/06/14 8:30 GB ILO Unemploy 6.70% 6.80%
    11/06/14 8:30 GB Avg Earn 3myy 1.20% 1.30%
    11/06/14 8:30 GB Claimant Count k Mar -25 -25.1
    11/06/14 11:00 US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
    11/06/14 14:30 US EIA Crude mn n/a -3.4
    11/06/14 14:30 US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 0.21
    11/06/14 14:30 US EIA Distillate mn n/a 2
    11/06/14 14:30 US EIA Cap Util n/a 90.80%
    11/06/14 17:00 TRY TRY 10-yr n/a n/a
    12/06/14 0:00 THURSDAY
    12/06/14 1:30 AU Payrolls 10 14.2
    12/06/14 1:30 AU % Jobless 5.90% 5.80%
    12/06/14 9:00 EZ Ind Prod mm Apr 0.40% -0.30%
    12/06/14 9:00 EZ Ind Prod yy 0.90% -0.10%
    12/06/14 12:30 US Initial Claims 305 312
    12/06/14 12:30 US Cont Claims n/a 2.603
    12/06/14 12:30 US Imp Prices Feb n/a n/a
    12/06/14 12:30 US Ret Sales May 0.50% 0.10%
    12/06/14 12:30 US Sales x-auto 0.40% 0.00%
    12/06/14 12:30 US Sales X-auto&gas n/a n/a
    12/06/14 14:00 US Bus Inv Apr 0.40% 0.40%
    12/06/14 14:30 US Nat Gas bcf n/a 119
    12/06/14 17:00 TRY TRY 30-yr n/a n/a
    12/06/14 21:00 NZ OCR+Statement 3.00% 3.00%

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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