Markets Off to a Cautious Start Monday Amid Political Concerns. Active U.S. Calendar

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Markets Off to a Cautious Start Monday Amid Political Concerns. Active U.S. Calendar

Markets Off to a Cautious Start Monday Amid Political Concerns. Active U.S. Calendar
June 17, 2014 00:00 gmt

Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Markets remain in rough a risk-off posture , as traders continue to worry about the implications of a possible disintegration of Iraq on global energy prices.. Oil prices are now off their highs of the day.

Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets closed mixed, while yields on the periphery were mostly higher.

U.K. yields ended higher. Many see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend U.S. yields steady on the day The U.S. 10-yr is 2.61%, 0 bp.

Equities closed mixed in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe were mostly lower. U.S. shares are up.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey, US- House Starts & Permits

Trade Tuesday see a number of key data releases from the U.K. Germany and the U.S. that have the potential to move prices. See "High impact releases in red just above this paragraph. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

After an extended period of low volatility triggered in large part by executives liquidity by the major central banks, I feel we are at a point where trading is going to start to open up again as monetary policies and relative economic growth patterns start to emerge. This is s "normal" state of affairs.
This week's economic calendar features: UK inflation data Tuesday along with the German ZEW Survey. Also on Tuesday U.S. housings Starts and CPI data are slated. On Wednesday, the focus will be on the tone of the Yellen press conference following the Fed policy decision. Thursday sees the quarterly SNB policy meeting and UK retail sales data. On Friday, Canadian CPI and retail sales figures are due. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.

TRADING PLANNER

TUESDAY 17June 2014

GB- CPI, RPIX etc.- BOE targets inflation
DE- ZEW Survey- key sentiment index
US- Housing Starts & Permits- Key housing Statistic
US- CPI- Price metric for Fed

WEDNESDAY 18 June 2014

GB- BOE Policy Minutes- latest policy decision

US- Current Account- broadest measure of trade
US- Fed Decision + Presser- policy outlook key

THURSDAY 19 June 2014

CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
UK- Retail Sales- top economic metric
US- Weekly Jobless- most current read on jobs

FRIDAY 20 June 2014

CA- Retail Sales- dated but key data

CA- CPI- BOC policy metric

FOREX CALENDAR

Time Country Title Cons Last

17/06/14 0:00 TUESDAY

17/06/14 8:30 GB C-Out PPI y 1.10% 1.00%

17/06/14 8:30 GB CPI mm May 0.20% 0.40%

17/06/14 8:30 GB CPI yy 1.70% 1.80%

17/06/14 8:30 GB RPI-X 2.60% 26%

17/06/14 9:00 DE ZEW Conditions 62.1 62.1

17/06/14 9:00 DE ZEW Expectations 35 33.1

17/06/14 12:30 US House Starts 1040 1072

17/06/14 12:30 US House Permits 1060 1059

17/06/14 12:30 US CPI m Apr 0.20% 0.30%

17/06/14 12:30 US CPI yy 2.00% 2.00%

17/06/14 12:30 US core CPI m 0.20% 0.20%

17/06/14 12:30 US core CPI yy 1.80% 1.80%

17/06/14 20:30 US API Energy n/a n/a

17/06/14 23:50 JP BOJ Minutes n/a n/a

18/06/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY

18/06/14 8:30 GB BOE Minutes n/a n/a

18/06/14 12:30 US Current Account -96.6 -81.1

18/06/14 14:30 US EIA Crude mn n/a -2.6

18/06/14 14:30 US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 1.7

18/06/14 14:30 US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.86

18/06/14 14:30 US EIA Cap Util n/a 87.90%

18/06/14 18:00 FRB Fed Rates 0.25% 0.25%

18/06/14 18:30 FRB Press Conference n/a n/a

19/06/14 0:00 THURSDAY

19/06/14 5:00 JP Ind Out Mayf yy n/a 4.10%

19/06/14 7:30 CH SNB 0.00% 0.00%

19/06/14 8:30 GB Ret Sls mm -0.50% 1.30%

19/06/14 8:30 GB Ret Sls yy 4.30% 6.90%

19/06/14 8:30 GB Ret Sls x-fuel mm -0.40% 1.80%

19/06/14 8:30 GB Ret Sls X-fuel yy 4.80% 7.70%

19/06/14 10:00 GB CBI Ind Output Trends n/a 32

19/06/14 12:30 US Cont Claims 314 317

19/06/14 12:30 US Initial Claims n/a 2164

19/06/14 14:00 US Philly Fed 14 15.4

19/06/14 14:00 US Lead Ind 0.60% 0.40%

19/06/14 14:30 US Nat Gas bcf n/a 107

Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. Bland, is a founding partner of Global-View.com, and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.

Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 23 Apr 2018
A All Day- Flash PMIs
AA 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Tue 24 Apr 2018
AA 01:30 AU- CPI
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 14:00 US- CB Confidence
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
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AA 14:30 US- EIA Crude
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A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 27 Apr 2018
AA 03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
A 08:00 DE- Employment
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