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Monday is June Flash PMI Day. Lots of Data to Digest

Monday is June Flash PMI Day. Lots of Data to Digest
June 23, 2014 00:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

  • Markets remained in a mixed risk-on posture as of the  European close, but there appears to be a lack of strong convictions into the weekend with political uncertainties high.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are closing mostly higher Yields on the European periphery are mostly up as well.
  • U.K. yields are up, the GBP is better bid. Most see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend.  Note that Canadian yields are up following Canadian CPI and Retail Sales data.
  • U.S. yields are higher. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.63%, +3 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are ending mixed. U.S. shares are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- flash PMI, CN- flash HSBC PMI,EZ-, DE-. FR- PMI's, US- Mfg PMI, Existing Homes Sales

      • Canadian CPI and retail sales figures Friday were stronger than expected and gave the CAD a a lift. NO changes in Bank of Canada are on the horizon
      • European Consumer Confidence data were weaker than forecast.. This release is not as closely followed as other confidence surveys.
      • This week sees a slew of economic reports with flash PMI data due on Monday and the German IFO Survey and the Conference Board Sentiment survey slated for Tuesday. Thursday sees an ECB Meeting. U.S.  weekly Jobless data and Personal Income data (PCE deflator). On Friday, U.K. GDP and the final June University of Michigan Survey are due..
      •  See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.


        MONDAY 23 June 2014
        • EZ/DE/FR-PMI's- Most current  data
        • US- Markit MFG PMI's-  Early U.S. data
        • US- Existing Homes Sales- Top Housing metric
        TUESDAY 24 June 2014
        • DE- IFO Survey- top German Sentiment index
        • US- Case Shiller Home Price Index- Accurate
        • US- New Homes Sales- Housing metric
        • US- CB Consumer Confidence- Closely watched
        WEDNESDAY 25 June 2014
        • US- Durable Goods- measure of output
        • US- GDP- growth measure
        • US- flash Markit SVC PMI- Current data
        THURSDAY 26 June 2014
        • US- Personal Income PCE Deflator: Fed Inflation target
        •  US- Weekly Jobless- Current jobs data
        FRIDAY 27 June 2014  
        • JP- Core CPI- BOJ trying to raise prices
        • GB- Revised GDP- On positive growth path
        •  US- Univ of Mich Survey- Revised data

        Time   Country Title Cons Last
        23/06/14 1:35 JP fl Mfg PMI n/a 49.9
        23/06/14 1:45 CN HSBC flash PMI 49.7 49.4
        23/06/14 7:00 FR MFG PMI flash 49.5 49.6
        23/06/14 7:00 FR SVC PMI flash 49.4 49.1
        23/06/14 7:28 DE MFG PMI flash 52.5 52.3
        23/06/14 7:28 DE SVC PMI flash 55.8 56
        23/06/14 7:58 EZ Markit SVC PMI flash 52.2 52.2
        23/06/14 7:58 EZ Markit MFG PMI flash 53.2 53.2
        23/06/14 13:45 US MFG Markit PMI flash 56 56.4
        23/06/14 14:00 US Existing Home 4.74 4.65
        24/06/14 0:00 TUESDAY
        24/06/14 8:00 DE IFO Climate n/a 106.2
        24/06/14 8:00 DE IFO Current n/a 114.8
        24/06/14 8:00 DE IFO Expectations 110.2 110.4
        24/06/14 13:00 US Case-Shil 20 yy 11.50% 12.40%
        24/06/14 14:00 US New Home Sales 440 433
        24/06/14 14:00 US Richmond Fed n/a n/a
        24/06/14 14:00 US CB Consumer Conf 83.5 83
        24/06/14 17:00 TRY TRY 2-yr n/a n/a
        24/06/14 20:30 US API Energy n/a n/a

        calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

        See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

        John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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