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Monday June 23, 2014 - 08:52:24 GMT -

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Eurozone June Flash PMIs Soft. Japan and China Flash PMIs recover to Expansion Levels

Eurozone June Flash PMIs Soft. Japan and China Flash PMIs recover to Expansion Levels
June 23, 2014 10:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

  • Markets are in a mixed risk-off posture early in  Europe Monday. Political uncertainties high. Flash PMI data have been mixed.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. Yields on the European periphery are barely changed..
  • U.K. yields are lower. Most see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S. yields are lower. The U.S. 10-yr is back pivoting the 2.60% line.The U.S. 10-yr is 2.60%, -3 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are trading lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- Mfg PMI, Existing Homes Sales

      • Flash Eurozone PMI data were generally weaker than forecast and down from previous monthly data. German flash manufacturing PMI data up ticked slightly but the the Service PMI fell.
      • The New Japanese flash manufacturing PMI recovered to above the 50.0 line but remained soft, The Chinese HSBC PMI bounced back above the 50 expansion line as well.
      • This week sees a slew of economic reports with flash PMI data due on Monday and the German IFO Survey and the Conference Board Sentiment survey slated for Tuesday. Thursday sees an ECB Meeting. U.S.  weekly Jobless data and Personal Income data (PCE deflator). On Friday, U.K. GDP and the final June University of Michigan Survey are due..
      •  See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
      Weekly Trading Planner
      MONDAY JUNE 23, 2014
      CN HSBC flash PMI - Key to CNY and AUD Sentiment
      DE MFG PMI flash - German Economy dominates EZ
      DE SVC PMI flash
      EZ Markit SVC PMI flash - EZ PMI
      EZ Markit MFG PMI flash
      US Existing Home Sales  - Most Important Housing Statistic
      TUESDAY JUNE 24, 2014
      DE IFO Climate Most Important  German Survey
      DE IFO Current
      DE IFO Expectations
      US CB Consumer Con  Closely-followed U.S. Survey
      TRY TRY 2-yr
      WEDNESDAY JUNE 24, 2014
      US Dur Goods May - Production Statistic
      US D/G ex-trans
      US GDP 1Q14r - GDP revision
      TRY TRY 5-yr
      THURSDAY JUNE 24, 2014
      JP Unemployed Mar
      JP Retail Sales yy Apr
      US Initial Claims - Most current read on Jobs
      US Cont Claims
      US PCE defl y - Primary Fed Inflation Measure
      US Per Inc May  Wage levels
      TRY TRY 7-yr
      FRIDAY JUNE 24, 2014
      JP Core CPI May  - BOJ Inflation Target
      JP CPI
      CH KOF Ind - Swiss Sentiment Index
      GB GDP 1Q14 QQ - UK GDP Revision
      GB GDP 1Q14 YY
       US U Mich final Closely followed

      Time   Country Title Cons Last
      23/06/14 13:45 A US Mfg MKt PMI flash 56 56.4
      23/06/14 14:00 A US Existing Home 4.74 4.65
      24/06/14 0:00 TUESDAY
      24/06/14 8:00 A DE IFO Climate 105.9 106.2
      24/06/14 8:00 A DE IFO Current 105 114.8
      24/06/14 8:00 A DE IFO Expectations 110.2 110.4
      24/06/14 13:00 B US Case-Shil 20 yy 11.50% 12.40%
      24/06/14 14:00 A US CB Consumer Conf 83.5 83
      24/06/14 14:00 B US New Home Sales 440 433
      24/06/14 14:00 C US Richmond Fed n/a n/a
      24/06/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 2-yr n/a n/a
      24/06/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
      25/06/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY
      25/06/14 10:00 B GB CBI Dist Trades 23 16
      25/06/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
      25/06/14 12:30 A US Dur Goods May -0.20% 0.60%
      25/06/14 12:30 A US D/G ex-trans 0.40% 0.30%
      25/06/14 12:30 A US GDP 1Q14r -1.70% -1.00%
      25/06/14 13:45 B US fl Svc MKT PMI 58 58.1
      25/06/14 14:30 C US EIA Crude mn n/a -579
      25/06/14 14:30 C US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 785
      25/06/14 14:30 C US EIA Distillate mn n/a 435
      25/06/14 14:30 C US EIA Cap Util n/a 87.10%
      25/06/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 5-yr n/a n/a
      26/06/14 0:00 THURSDAY
      26/06/14 0:30 A JP Unemploy Mar 3.60% 3.60%
      26/06/14 0:50 A JP Retail Sales yy Apr -1.90% -4.40%
      26/06/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 310 312
      26/06/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims 2.57 2.561
      26/06/14 12:30 A US PCE defl y 1.60% 1.40%
      26/06/14 12:30 A US Per Inc May 0.40% 0.30%
      26/06/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 113
      26/06/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 7-yr n/a n/a

      calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

      See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

      John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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