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Tuesday July 8, 2014 - 09:10:44 GMT
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Swiss CPI Unchanged Yr/yr as Deflation Imported from EZ. Economic Data Calendar Back loaded

Swiss CPI Unchanged Yr/yr as Deflation Imported from EZ. Economic Data Calendar Back loaded
July 8, 2014 09:30 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Markets in a risk-off posture again as equities sell-off again following the difficult session Monday in the U.S. The EURUSD continues to pivot the 1.3600 level.


  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly lower. Yields on the European periphery are up again. The German 10-yr bund is 1.25%, -1bp.
  • U.K. gilt  yields are lower.  The 10-yr gilt is 2.72%  -2bp. Odds favor one +25bp BOE short-term rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S.10-yr  yield  is 2.61%,  -1 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are mostly lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS:  DE- Trade, CH-CPI. GB- Output, US- 3yr

      • Swiss CPI continues to be a problem as it continues to fall well short of its 2.0% y/y target. In June, its yr/yr reading was 0.0%. It is possible to SNB will try to drive it even weaker vs. the EUR?
      • EURUSD continues to pivot the 1.3600 line. Relative economic performance suggests the EURUSD SHOULD trade lower over time, but unusual unidentified demand for the EUR has been  providing support.
      • The first major headline item this week will be the latest FOMC minutes on Wednesday afternoon. Thursday sees Australian employment data and the July Bank of England policy decision. On Friday Canadian employment data are due. final June Service PMI data missed street estimates This index is well below its peaks from eight months ago.
      • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
      Weekly Trading Planner

      TUESDAY  July 8, 2014 
      CH CPI
      WEDNESDAY July 9, 2014
      CN CPI
      US  TRY 10-yr
      US Fed Minutes
      THURSDAY July 10, 2014
      AU Employment
      CN Trade
      GB Trade
      GB Bank of England
      US Weekly Jobless
      TRY TRY 30-yr
      FRIDAY July 11, 2014
      CA Employment


      FOREX CALENDAR
      Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
      08/07/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 3-yr n/a n/a
      08/07/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
      09/07/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY
      09/07/14 1:30 CN CPI 2.40% 2.50%
      09/07/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a -3.2
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a -1.2
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.975
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 91.40%
      09/07/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 10-yr n/a n/a
      09/07/14 18:00 A FRB Fed Minutes n/a n/a
      10/07/14 0:00 THURSDAY
      10/07/14 1:30 A AU Payrolls 12 -4.8
      10/07/14 1:30 A AU % Jobless 5.90% 5.80%
      10/07/14 1:30 A CN Trade 36.9 35.92
      10/07/14 8:30 A GB Visible Trade -8.75 -8.92
      10/07/14 8:30 A GB Trade- Non-EU -3.5 -3.78
      10/07/14 11:00 A GB Bank of England 0.50% 0.50%
      10/07/14 11:00 A GB QE GBP bn 375 375
      10/07/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 315 315
      10/07/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.579
      10/07/14 14:00 B US Wholesale Inventories 0.60% 1.10%
      10/07/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 98
      10/07/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 30-yr n/a n/a
      11/07/14 0:00 FRIDAY
      11/07/14 12:30 A CA Jobless % 7.00% 7.00%
      11/07/14 12:30 A CA Payrolls 24 25.8
      11/07/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a


      calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

      See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.


      John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of Global-View.com,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


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    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


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    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


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    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

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