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Wednesday July 9, 2014 - 09:32:27 GMT -

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Fed Meeting Minutes Later. Markets Await Tone of Discussions

Fed Meeting Minutes Later. Markets Await Tone of Discussions
July 9, 2014 09:30 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Markets have gone to a neutral to slight a risk-off  posture today after having marked down risk assets yesterday.  Equities sold-off ahead of earnings season that started yesterday. on concerns that stocks might be overpriced.  The EURUSD continues to pivot the 1.3600 level.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly steady. Yields on the European periphery are higher. The German 10-yr bund is 1.22%, -1bp.
  • The U.K. 10-yr gilt  yield i steady at 2.66%  0bp. Odds favor one +25bp BOE short-term rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S.10-yr  yield  is 2.58%,  +1 bp.
  • Equities closed lower in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are steady to lower. U.S. share futures are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- 10-yr Auction, Fed Minutes

      • The latest FOMC minutes are due today. We will be looking for any hints about any changes in the timing of the end of the asset purchase program. or a "normalization" of short-term interest rates. 
      • June Chinese CPI were tame and generally in line with expectations increasing +2.30% yr/yr. We see no policy implications from the report.
      • EURUSD continues to pivot the 1.3600 line. Relative economic performance suggests the EURUSD SHOULD trade lower over time, but unusual unidentified demand for the EUR has been  providing support.
      • Thursday sees Australian employment data and the July Bank of England policy decision. On Friday Canadian employment data are due.
      • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
      Weekly Trading Planner

      WEDNESDAY July 9, 2014
      CN CPI
      US  TRY 10-yr
      US Fed Minutes
      THURSDAY July 10, 2014
      AU Employment
      CN Trade
      GB Trade
      GB Bank of England
      US Weekly Jobless
      TRY TRY 30-yr
      FRIDAY July 11, 2014
      CA Employment

      Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
      09/07/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a -3.2
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a -1.2
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.975
      09/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 91.40%
      09/07/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 10-yr n/a n/a
      09/07/14 18:00 A FRB Fed Minutes n/a n/a
      10/07/14 0:00 THURSDAY
      10/07/14 1:30 A AU Payrolls 12 -4.8
      10/07/14 1:30 A AU % Jobless 5.90% 5.80%
      10/07/14 1:30 A CN Trade 36.9 35.92
      10/07/14 8:30 A GB Visible Trade -8.75 -8.92
      10/07/14 8:30 A GB Trade- Non-EU -3.5 -3.78
      10/07/14 11:00 A GB Bank of England 0.50% 0.50%
      10/07/14 11:00 A GB QE GBP bn 375 375
      10/07/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 315 315
      10/07/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.579
      10/07/14 14:00 B US Wholesale Inventories 0.60% 1.10%
      10/07/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 98
      10/07/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 30-yr n/a n/a
      11/07/14 0:00 FRIDAY
      11/07/14 12:30 A CA Jobless % 7.00% 7.00%
      11/07/14 12:30 A CA Payrolls 24 25.8
      11/07/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a

      calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

      See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

      John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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    AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

    Mon 19 Feb 2018
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