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Monday July 14, 2014 - 09:11:02 GMT -

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Key Draghi and Yellen Appearances Today and Tuesday

Key Draghi and Yellen Appearances Today and Tuesday
July 14, 2014 09:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Markets are opening the new week and have moved cautiously moved back to a risk-on posture after concern about a possible contagion from the Banco Espirito Sancto situation diminished at the end of last week. The EURUSD is back above the 1.3600 level.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are steady to higher to start the new week   Yields on the European periphery are lower. The German 10-yr bund is 1.22%, +1bp.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.61%  +1bp. Odds still favor a +25bp BOE short-term rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S.10-yr  yield  is 2.53%,  +1bp.
  • Equities closed higher in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are up. U.S. share futures are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


      • EZ Industrial Output fell -1.10% mo/mo. This was slightly better than forecast. Nevertheless, it was the largest monthly decline since September 2012.
      • Trading Monday has gotten off to a cautious start. Key foci early in  the week will be a appearance Monday by ECB President Draghi in Strasbourg and then testimony Tuesday by Fed Chair Yellen before the House Banking Committee. Otherwise, this is an active week on the data front.
      • This week is active on the data front. Tuesday features key U.K. inflation data, the German ZEW Survey and U.S. Retail Sales data. Wednesday will see Chinese GDP, the U.K. Employment report and the latest Bank of Canada Policy Decision.
      • On Thursday, final EZ CPI data for June will be released. Housing Starts and Permits are due from the U.S. along with Industrial Production and sentiment data. On Friday, Canadian CPI and the preliminary July University of Michigan Survey are due.  
      • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
      Weekly Trading Planner

      MONDAY July 14, 2014 
      JP industrial Output
      EZ Draghi
      TUESDAY July 15, 2014
      JP Bank of Japan
      GB CPI /RPIX
      US Retail Sales
      FRB Yellen Testimony
      NZ 2Q CPI
      WEDNESDAY July 16, 2014
      GB Employment 
      CA BOC Rates+MPR
      THURSDAY July 17, 2014
      EZ Final HICP
      US Initial Claims
      US House Starts /Permits
      US TIC Net Flows
      US Ind Prod
      FRB Beige Book  
      FRIDAY July 18, 2014
      CA BOC CPI
      US U Mich prelim

      Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
      14/07/14 17:30 B EZ Ind Prod mm -1.20% 0.80%
      14/07/14 19:30 A EZ Draghi n/a n/a
      15/07/14 0:00 TUESDAY
      15/07/14 4:30 A JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%
      15/07/14 8:30 A GB CPI mm -0.10% -0.10%
      15/07/14 8:30 A GB CPI yy 1.60% 1.50%
      15/07/14 8:30 A GB RPI-X 2.50% 2.50%
      15/07/14 8:30 B GB C-Out PPI y 1.00% 1.00%
      15/07/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Conditions 67.4 67.7
      15/07/14 9:00 B DE ZEW Expectations 28.4 29.8
      15/07/14 12:30 C US Imp Prices Feb n/a n/a
      15/07/14 12:30 B US Empire PMI 17 19.3
      15/07/14 12:30 A US Ret Sales May 0.60% 0.30%
      15/07/14 12:30 A US Sales x-auto< 0.60% 0.10%
      15/07/14 12:30 A US Sales X-auto&gas n/a n/a
      15/07/14 14:00 A FRB Yellen n/a n/a
      15/07/14 14:00 C US Bus Inv 0.60% 0.60%
      15/07/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
      15/07/14 23:45 A NZ 2Q CPI qq n/a 0.30%
      15/07/14 23:45 A NZ 2Q CPI yy n/a 1.60%
      16/07/14 0:00 WEDNESDAY
      16/07/14 2:00 CN GDP yy 2Q14 7.40% 7.40%
      16/07/14 8:30 A GB ILO Unemploy 6.50% 6.60%
      16/07/14 8:30 A GB Avg Earn 3myy 0.50% 0.70%
      16/07/14 8:30 A GB Claimant Count k Mar -27 -27.4
      16/07/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
      16/07/14 14:00 A CA BOC Rates+MPR 1.00% 1.00%
      16/07/14 14:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a -2.4
      16/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 0.58
      16/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 0.23
      16/07/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 91.60%
      17/07/14 0:00 THURSDAY
      17/07/14 9:00 A EZ HICP mm 0.10% -0.10%
      17/07/14 9:00 A EZ HICP yy 0.50% 0.50%
      17/07/14 9:00 A EZ HICP core y 0.80% 0.80%
      17/07/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a n/a
      17/07/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 310 304
      17/07/14 12:30 B US PPI core 0.20% -0.10%
      17/07/14 12:30 B US PPI Apr 0.20% -0.20%
      17/07/14 12:30 A US House Starts 1020 1001
      17/07/14 12:30 A US House Permits 1045 1005
      17/07/14 13:00 A US TIC Net Flows $b n/a n/a
      17/07/14 13:00 B US TIC L-T Flows Mar n/a -24.2
      17/07/14 13:15 A US Ind Prod 0.30% 0.60%
      17/07/14 13:15 A US Cap Util 79.30% 79.10%
      17/07/14 14:00 B US NAHB Index 50 49
      17/07/14 14:00 A US Philly Fed 16 17.8
      17/07/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 93
      17/07/14 18:00 A FRB Beige Book n/a n/a
      17/07/14 23:50 A JP BOJ Minutes n/a n/a

      calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

      See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

      John M. BlandJohn M. Bland, is a founding partner of,  and an author. He has been an FX consultant for a money center. bank, a forex trader for a N.Y. institution, and a FX analyst for a top Fed watching service. John has an MBA in International Finance and an A.B. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
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