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German GDP Next. Disappointing Data News From U.K. and EZ

German GDP Next. Disappointing Data News From U.K. and EZ
August 14, 2014 00:00 gmt
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Markets are ending Europe in a mixed risk posture. Today has been market by disappointing economic data from almost everywhere. Also Traders do not know what to do about  the risk of  Russian actions in Ukraine. The EURUSD back below 1.3400.



  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are broadly lower. The 10-yr bund is 1.03% -3bp. The 10-yr 1.00% line remains an obvious psychological target. The 2-yr yield is back below zero. Peripheral bond yields are lower on the day.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.44%  -4bp. The +25bp BOE rate hike has been pushed a quarter later to 1Q15.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.42%, -3bp. The psychological pivot remains 2.50%
  • Far East equities closed mostly higher. Bourses in Europe ended up. U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


    HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, HICP, GB Employment, US- Weekly Jobs, Import Prices,, 30-yr
  • Thursday sees high profile EZ data with GDP and HICP figures in the spotlight.
  •  U.K. Employment data were in line with expectations, however wage growth was disappointing once again. The BOE Inflation Report  was less hawkish than seen Slack in economy fell, but there is more slack in the economy than originally thought. Wage growth is weak. The BOE pushed its rate hike timing a water later  to 1Q15 
  • EZ Industrial Production data was below  forecasts.
  • See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they are released.
  • Friday will see UK GDP revisions, U.S. Industrial Production figures and the preliminary University of Michigan Survey.
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items:

THURSDAY
DE 2Q14 GDP
EZ 2Q14 GDP
EZ HICP 
US Initial Claims
TRY 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
GB GDP
US Ind Prod
US U Mich prelim


FOREX CALENDAR
Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
14/08/14 6:00 A DE GDP qq -0.10% 0.80%
14/08/14 6:00 A DE GDP yy 1.40% 2.30%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ 2Q14 GDP qq 0.10% 0.20%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ GDP yy 0.70% 0.90%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP mm -0.60% 0.10%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP yy 0.40% 0.40%
14/08/14 9:00 A EZ HICP core y 0.80% 0.80%
14/08/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims 2.5 2.518
14/08/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 295 289
14/08/14 12:30 C US Imp Prices n/a 0.10%
14/08/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf 80 82
14/08/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 30-yr n/a n/a
15/08/14 0:00 FRIDAY
15/08/14 8:30 A GB GDP QQ 0.80% 0.80%
15/08/14 8:30 A GB GDP YY 3.10% 3.10%
15/08/14 12:30 B US Empire PMI 20 25.6
15/08/14 12:30 B US PPI core 0.20% 0.20%
15/08/14 12:30 B US PPI 0.10% 0.40%
15/08/14 13:15 A US Ind Prod 0.30% 0.20%
15/08/14 13:15 A US Cap Util 79.20% 79.10%
15/08/14 13:55 A US U Mich prelim 82.5 81.8
15/08/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a


calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.



John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved

 

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
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  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

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