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Tuesday August 19, 2014 - 18:53:54 GMT
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U.S Data Mixed. U.K. Inflation Data Softer. BOE and Fed Policy Minutes on Wednesday
U.S Data Mixed. U.K. Inflation Data Softer. BOE and Fed Policy Minutes on Wednesday August 20, 2014 00:00 gmt
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Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map
Current Market Conditions: European markets remain in a RISK-ON posture late Tuesday. The impetus for trade today was softer than expected U.K. inflation and mixed U.S. data. Equities are up broadly.and bond yields are lower. The EURUSD is testing below 1.3350.
- Wednesday sees the latest Bank of England and Fed policy minutes.
- July U.S. Housing Starts rebounded by a lot more than expected when they were released on Tuesday. Analysts credited multi-family dwellings for the surge. The impact of the data was muted by softer than expected July CPI data. The data suggest that the Fed is not behind the curve in managing inflation.
- U.K. July inflation data were softer than expected and if sustained would raise doubts about a November policy tightening by the Bank of England. Gilt yields and the GBP have have fallen on the news.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released. .
- Thursday sees a slew of flash PMI reports, U.K. Retail Sales and several U.S. items.
- Friday sees Canadian inflation and Retail Sales data. Also Fed Chair Yellen and ECB President Draghi will speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
WEDNESDAY 8:30 GB BOE Minutes 18:00 FRB Fed Minutes THURSDAY 1:45 CN HSBC flash PMI 7:28 DE MFG PMI flash 7:58 EZ MFG PMI flash 8:30 GB Retail Sales 12:30 US Initial Claims 13:45 US MKt MFG PMI flash 14:00 US Philly Fed 14:00 US Existing Homes Sales FRIDAY 12:30 CA CPI 12:30 CA Retail Sales 14:00 FRB Yellen Jackson Hole 18:30 EZ Draghi Jackson Hole
FOREX CALENDAR |
Time |
Imp |
Country |
Title |
Cons |
Last |
20/08/14 8:30 |
A |
GB |
BOE Minutes |
n/a |
n/a |
20/08/14 11:00 |
C |
US |
WK Mortgage Stats |
n/a |
n/a |
20/08/14 14:30 |
A |
US |
EIA Distillate mn |
n/a |
-1.4 |
20/08/14 14:30 |
B |
US |
EIA Crude mn |
n/a |
-1.2 |
20/08/14 14:30 |
B |
US |
EIA Gasoline mn |
n/a |
-2.4 |
20/08/14 14:30 |
B |
US |
EIA Cap Util |
n/a |
91.60% |
20/08/14 18:00 |
A |
FRB |
Fed Minutes |
n/a |
n/a |
21/08/14 0:00 |
|
|
THURSDAY |
|
|
21/08/14 1:35 |
B |
JP |
fl Mfg PMI |
51.5 |
50.5 |
21/08/14 1:45 |
A |
CN |
HSBC flash PMI |
51.5 |
51.7 |
21/08/14 7:00 |
B |
FR |
MFG PMI flash |
47.8 |
47.8 |
21/08/14 7:00 |
B |
FR |
SVC PMI flash |
47.8 |
50.4 |
21/08/14 7:28 |
A |
DE |
MFG PMI flash |
51.5 |
52.4 |
21/08/14 7:58 |
A |
EZ |
flash MFG PMI |
n/a |
n/a |
21/08/14 8:30 |
A |
GB |
Ret Sls mm |
0.40% |
0.10% |
21/08/14 8:30 |
A |
GB |
Ret Sls yy |
3.00% |
3.60% |
21/08/14 8:30 |
A |
GB |
Ret Sls x-fuel mm |
0.40% |
-0.10% |
21/08/14 8:30 |
A |
GB |
Ret Sls X-fuel yy |
3.50% |
4.00% |
21/08/14 12:30 |
A |
US |
Cont Claims |
n/a |
2.544 |
21/08/14 12:30 |
A |
US |
Initial Claims |
300 |
311 |
21/08/14 13:45 |
A |
US |
Mfg MKt PMI flash |
55.7 |
55.8 |
21/08/14 14:00 |
C |
EZ |
Cons Conf prelim |
-9.1 |
-8.4 |
21/08/14 14:00 |
A |
US |
Philly Fed |
20 |
23 |
21/08/14 14:00 |
B |
US |
Lead Ind |
0.60% |
0.30% |
21/08/14 14:00 |
A |
US |
Existing Home |
5 |
5.04 |
21/08/14 14:30 |
C |
US |
Nat Gas bcf |
n/a |
78 |
22/08/14 0:00 |
|
|
FRIDAY |
|
|
22/08/14 12:30 |
A |
CA |
BOC CPI Apr y |
n/a |
1.80% |
22/08/14 12:30 |
A |
CA |
CPI mm |
0.20% |
0.10% |
22/08/14 12:30 |
A |
CA |
CPI yy |
2.20% |
2.40% |
22/08/14 12:30 |
A |
CA |
Retail Sales |
0.40% |
0.70% |
22/08/14 12:30 |
A |
CA |
Sales x-autos |
n/a |
0.10% |
22/08/14 14:00 |
A |
FRB |
Yellen Jackson Hole |
n/a |
n/a |
22/08/14 18:30 |
A |
EZ |
Draghi Jackson Hole |
n/a |
n/a |
22/08/14 19:30 |
|
US |
COT Report |
n/a |
n/a |
Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
John M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 16 Apr 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 17 Apr 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 18 Apr 2018
AA 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 14:00 CA- BOC Decision
AA 14:30 GB- EIA Crude
Thu 19 Apr 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators
Fri 20 Apr 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales
John M. Bland, MBA co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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