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Thursday September 11, 2014 - 09:49:09 GMT
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MIXED RISK: Aussie Jobs Data Show Outsized Gain. RBNZ Keeps Rates Steady
|MIXED RISK: Aussie Jobs Data Show Outsized Gain. RBNZ Keeps Rates Steady|
September 11, 2014 09:30 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map
Current Market Conditions:
Key markets are in a mixed RISK-OFF posture early in European trade Thursday. There are concerns that the Fed will be taking a less dovish posture at its meeting next Thursday and that is weighing on stocks. The Scotland referendum vote is also next week.
- As expected the RBNZ kept policy steady. Markets felt the policy statement was less hawkish than expected.
- August Australia Jobs data saw an unexpected surge fueled by part-t-me jobs growth.The data are unsustainable. Aussie jobs statistics can be volatile..
- The Scottish Daily Record Scotland independence poll put the pro-independence vote at 47%, and the no vote at 53% (excluding undecided).
- There has been widespread talk that the FOMC might drop its "extended time period" from its policy statement next week. That could move the timing of the first rate hike to early 2015. Fed rate hikes are still likely to be gradual as they"normalize" policy.
- Friday features U.S. retail Sales figures and the University of Michigan Survey.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
01:30 AU Payrolls Key growth metric
12:30 US Initial Claims Employment measure
19:00 EZ Draghi Milan Draghi always closely followed
05:30 JP Ind Out Japanese Production
12:30 US Retail Sales Consumer is King
13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer Sentiment
||Nat Gas bcf
||Ind Prod mm
||Ind Prod yy
||U Mich prelim
Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
John M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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