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Markets to Digest U.S. Jobs on Monday. Quiet Calendar

Markets to Digest U.S. Jobs on Monday. Quiet Calendar
  October 6, 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

Current Market Conditions:
The September U.S. Employment Report was considerably better than expected and has given the USD a boost. The EURUSD was testing the 1.2500 line.  Markets are ending the week generally in a RISK-ON posture following the report.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher.. The 10-yr bund is 0.936%,  +1.8% bp. Peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.393% +5.0 bp. BOE Gov Carney has continued to signal a Spring 2015 rate hike.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.468%, +3.2bp.The Psychological focus remains on 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed higher as China returned form holidays... Bourses in Europe are mostly up. U.S. shares are up..

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).

    HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CN- Holiday, DE- Factory Orders, CA- Ivey PMI
    • Monday features German Output Data. The September U.S. jobs report was better than street forecasts.  It saw equities gain and  bond yields rise.
    • Tuesday sees central bank decisions from Australia and Japan. Also U.K. production data are slated.
    • On Wednesday, Chinese GDP and the latest Fed Minutes will be released.
    • Thursday sees Australia employment data, the latest Bank of England policy decision and weekly U.S. jobless claims. On Friday, U.K. trade and Canadian employment data will be the featured releases.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

    AU/NZ Clocks +1hr
    CN Holiday
    14:00 A CA Ivey PMI  volatile index
    CN Holiday
    0:30 A JP Trade Japan is a big exporter
    03:30 A AU Australia Reserve Bank no rate change
    04:30 A JP Bank of Japan no rate change
    07:15 A CH CPI deflation?
    17:00 A TRY 3-yr auction
    02:00 A CN GDP key indicator
    17:00 A TRY 10-yr  auction
    18:00 A FRB Fed Minutes latest decision
    00:50 A JP BOJ Minutes
    01:30 A AU Employment major economic metric
    11:00 A GB Bank of England no rate change
    12:30 A US Initial Claims near frictional lows
    17:00  TRY 30-yr
    08:30 A GB  Trade key industrial measure
    12:30 A CA Employment key economic metric

    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    05/10/14 13:00 AU/NZ Clocks +1hr n/a n/a
    06/10/14 0:00 A CN Holiday n/a n/a
    06/10/14 7:00 B DE Factory Ord mm -2.50% 4.60%
    06/10/14 7:00 B DE Factory Ord yy 2.60% 4.90%
    06/10/14 14:00 A CA Ivey PMI 53.4 50.9
    07/10/14 0:00 A TUESDAY
    07/10/14 0:00 A CN Holiday n/a n/a
    07/10/14 0:30 A JP Trade JPYb n/a -525
    07/10/14 3:30 A AU Australia Reserve Bank 2.50% 2.50%
    07/10/14 4:30 A JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%
    07/10/14 7:00 B DE Ind Output yy -1.50% 2.50%
    07/10/14 7:15 A CH CPI mm 0.20% 0.00%
    07/10/14 7:15 A CH CPI yy n/a 0.10%
    07/10/14 8:30 B GB Ind Output m 0.00% 0.50%
    07/10/14 8:30 B GB Ind Output y 2.60% 1.70%
    07/10/14 8:30 B GB Mfg Output m 0.10% 0.30%
    07/10/14 8:30 B GB Mfg Output yy 3.40% 2.20%
    07/10/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 3-yr n/a n/a
    07/10/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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