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RISK-OFF: Markets Nervous After Volatile Wednesday Session. Major Focus Stock and Fixed Income Trading

RISK-OFF: Markets Nervous After  Volatile Wednesday Session. Major Focus Stock and Fixed Income Trading
  October 16, 2014 09:30 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

08:45 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Markets remain in a RISK-OFF posture following the sharp sell-off  in U.S. equities yesterday following a number of items that by themselves should not have triggered such a violent response.. Far East equities closed mostly lower today.  Bourses in Europe are mostly weaker. U.S. share futures are higher, but confidence is still shaky.

In overseas activity, trade in the U.S. 10-yr remains volatile. The plummet in the yield yesterday was particularly troubling for many for what it implied. It is currently yielding 2.081%. 10-yr yields in the bund and gilts remain remarkably low as well today. Peripheral bond yields are higher. The sharp spike higher in. Greek yields this week has not gotten much play, but is worth watching.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  US- Weekly Jobless, Industrial Production, NAHB, Philly Fed
    • Final EZ headline HICP for September was unrevised from its flash estimate. Core y/y HICP was revised slightly higher,
    • Today sees the release of U.S, weekly Jobless Claims,  Industrial Production,  the NAHB index, and the Philly Fed Survey. .Crude Oil inventories today will be closely-followed after  a surge higher in API inventories yesterday. .Falling oil prices have been a major market influence this week.
    • On Friday, the focus is on North America with Canadian CPI data in the spotlight. The U.S. features Housing data and the preliminary October University of Michigan survey.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    09:00 EZ HICP Final data. Flash was soft
    12:30 US Initial Claims Bouncing along the bottom
    13:15 US Ind Prod & Cap Util Growth seen
    14:00 US Philly Fed Regional PMI seen better
    20:00 US TIC Data Measure of Capital flows (new time)
    12:30 CA BOC CPI BOC targets Inflation
    12:30 FRB Yellen Boston
    12:30 US House Starts & Permits Key housing measures
    13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer sentiment measure

    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    16/10/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 285 287
    16/10/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.384
    16/10/14 13:15 A US Ind Prod 0.40% -0.10%
    16/10/14 13:15 A US Cap Util 79.00% 78.80%
    16/10/14 14:00 B US NAHB Index 59 59
    16/10/14 14:00 A US Philly Fed 20 22.5
    16/10/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 105
    16/10/14 15:00 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 5
    16/10/14 15:00 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 1.18
    16/10/14 15:00 B US EIA Distillate mn n/a 0.44
    16/10/14 15:00 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 89.3
    16/10/14 20:00 A US TIC Net Flows $b n/a -18.6
    16/10/14 20:00 B US TIC L-T Flows Mar n/a n/a
    17/10/14 0:00 A FRIDAY
    17/10/14 12:30 A CA BOC CPI y 2.10% 2.10%
    17/10/14 12:30 A CA CPI mm 0.00% 0.00%
    17/10/14 12:30 A CA CPI yy 2.00% 2.10%
    17/10/14 12:30 A FRB Yellen Boston n/a n/a
    17/10/14 12:30 A US House Starts 1002 956
    17/10/14 12:30 A US House Permits 1032 1003
    17/10/14 13:55 A US U Mich prelim 84 84.6
    17/10/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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    GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
    AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

    Mon 26 Feb 2018
    A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales
    Tue 27 Feb 2018
    A 08:55 DE- Jobless
    B 13:30 US- Durable Goods
    A 15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
    A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
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    Wed 28 Feb 2018
    A 10:00 EZ- flash HICP
    AA 13:30 US- GDP
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    Thu 1 Mar 2018
    A All Day final Mfg PMIs
    A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
    AA 13:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
    AA 15:00 US- Powell Senate Testimony
    A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
    Fri 2 Mar 2018
    AA 15:00 US- final Univ of Mich

    John M. Bland, MBA
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