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RISK-OFF: Markets Remain Jumpy Into Weekend. Key Focus Stock and Fixed Income Trade
|RISK-OFF: Markets Remain Jumpy Into Weekend. Key Focus Stock and Fixed Income Trade|
October 17, 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map
16:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
As of the European close, markets were moving into a MIXED RISK OFF posture as traders waited to see if equities were in the process of finding a bottom. Most are cautious. Far East equities closed lower today. Bourses in Europe ended mostly weaker. U.S. shares are now mixed, but confidence remains shaky.
In overseas activity, trade in the U.S. 10-yr remains volatile, but most of the decline in yields since early Wednesday erased. 10-yr yields in the bund and gilts have rebounded as well.. The sharp spike higher in Greek yields this week has not gotten much play, but has been worth watching.
The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CA- CPI, US- Yellen, Housing Starts & Permits, University of Michigan (preliminary)
- On Friday, the focus is on North America with Canadian CPI data in the spotlight. The U.S. features Housing Starts/Permits data and the preliminary October University of Michigan survey.
- U.S, weekly Jobless Claims and Industrial Production data, and the Philly Fed Survey were better than expected. The NAHB index was a miss. Crude Oil inventories confirmed the surge in API inventories released on Wednesday. .Falling oil prices have been a key financial market influence this week.
- Final EZ headline HICP for September was unrevised from its flash estimate. Core y/y HICP was revised slightly higher.
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):THURSDAY
09:00 EZ HICP Final data. Flash was soft
12:30 US Initial Claims Bouncing along the bottom
13:15 US Ind Prod & Cap Util Growth seen
14:00 US Philly Fed Regional PMI seen better
20:00 US TIC Data Measure of Capital flows (new time)
12:30 CA BOC CPI BOC targets Inflation
12:30 FRB Yellen Boston
12:30 US House Starts & Permits Key housing measures
13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer sentiment measure
||TIC Net Flows $b
||TIC L-T Flows Mar
||BOC CPI y
||U Mich prelim
Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
John M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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