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Thursday October 23, 2014 - 09:33:17 GMT
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MIXED RISK. Flash PMI Data Largely Better. U.K. Retail Sales Miss. Active U.S. Calendar

MIXED RISK. Flash PMI Data Largely Better. U.K. Retail Sales Miss. Active U.S. Calendar
  October 23, 2014 09:30 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

09:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Early  in European trade, markets are in  MIXED RISK posture following a slew of flash PMI releases that broadly have been mixed to stronger than expected.  In Far East trade, equities ended weaker. European bourses are modestly higher at this hour  U.S. share futures are up.

U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr yields in bunds and gilts are up as well.. Peripheral bond yields are lower, Volatile Greek yields are down sharply again.



The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  Consumer Confidence, US- Weekly Jobless, flash PMI. LEI
    • Today sees flash PMI data from the U.S., Weekly  Jobless Claims and Eurozone Consumer Confidence.
    • Flash PMI data for China and Japan were stronger than expected while Eurozone PMI readings were mixed to better and gave the EURUSD a lift.
    • U.K. Retail Sales data fell short of expectations and saw the GBP weaken on the news. New Zealand CPI readings suggest the economy remains in a disinflationary condition.
    •  Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    • Markets have been setting up for the Fed meeting next Tuesday and Wednesday. This is an important period for confidence in the financial markets. Additionally markets are awaiting th ECB stress tests results on  Sunday October 26.  One press report says at least 11 of 130 banks have failed.
    • Friday sees U.K. GDP, and U.S. New Homes Sales, Over the weekend, European clocks are turned back.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    21:45 NZ 3Q CPI RBNZ-- targets inflation
    THURSDAY
    01:45 CN HSBC flash PM-- universal economic survey
    07:28 DE MFG PMI flash-- universal economic survey
    07:28 DE SVC PMI flash -- universal economic survey
    07:58 EZ flash MFG PMI -- universal economic survey
    07:58 EZ flash SVC PMI -- universal economic survey
    08:30 GB Ret Sls --key demand measures
    12:30 US Initial Claims--freshest jobs data  
    13:45 US Mfg MKt PMI flash-- universal economic survey
    FRIDAY
    08:30 GB GDP-- broadest measure of economy
    14:00 US New Homes Sales-- housing measure

    FOREX CALENDAR
    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    23/10/14 10:00 B GB CBI Ind Output Trends n/a 27
    23/10/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 285 264
    23/10/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.389
    23/10/14 13:45 A US Mfg MKt PMI flash 57.5 57.5
    23/10/14 14:00 B EZ Cons Conf prelim -12.6 -11.4
    23/10/14 14:00 B US Lead Ind 0.70% 0.20%
    23/10/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf 95 94
    24/10/14 0:00 A FRIDAY
    24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP QQ 0.70% 0.90%
    24/10/14 8:30 A GB GDP YY 3.00% 3.20%
    24/10/14 14:00 A US New Homes Sales 470 504
    24/10/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a
    26/10/14 1:00 UK/EZ Clocks -1hr n/a n/a


    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.



    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved

     

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    Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


    Tue 21 Nov
    15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
    23:00 US- Yellen Speech
    Wed 22 Nov
    13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US- Durable Goods
    15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
    15:30 US- EIA Crude
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    Thu 23 Nov
    US/JP- Holiday
    All Day flash PMIs
    13:30 CA- Retail Sales
    Fri 24 Nov
    All Day flash PMIs
    09:00 DE- IFO Survey
    US- Early Closes

    Forex Trading Outlook


    Potential Trading Opportunities


    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic

    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
    • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


    John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

    EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

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