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No Major Surprises in European Bank Stress Tests. Early Monday Sees German IFO Survey
|No Major Surprises in European Bank Stress Tests. Early Monday Sees German IFO Survey|
October 27 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map
17:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
European markets closed in a RISK-Off posture ahead of the ECB bank stress tests on Sunday. As expected some of the results have already been leaked. In Far East trade, equities ended mixed. European bourses closed broadly weaker. U.S. shares are trading higher.
U.S. 10-yr yields are lower. 10-yr yields in bunds close down, while gilts ended steady. Peripheral bond yields closed mostly higher.
The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: DE- IFO Survey, US- flash Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales
- The new week starts off with a bang with the closely-followed German IFO Survey due early on Monday. Later, the U.S. flash Markit Services PMI and Pending Homes Sales data are released
- The closely awaited European Asset Quality Review (AQR) bank stress tests were released early Sunday and were in line with the data leaked on Friday The data should be of no surprise to traders. .
- Tuesday sees a slew of U.S. data including Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Confidence data.
- On Wednesday, the focus will be the latest FOMC decision. Markets have been setting up for the Fed meeting decision on Wednesday. Market stability should be important for the FOMC. Late in the U.S. day a RBNZ policy announcement.
- Key items Thursday include German unemployment data and U.S. GDP.
- Friday sees Japanese CPI, a BOJ policy decision, Eurozone flash HICP, U.S. Personal Income data and the final October University of Michigan Survey, Over the weekend, North American clocks are turned back one
- Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):MONDAY
09:00 DE IFO Climate top German Sentiment Survey
13:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash New PMI indicator
14:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales
00:50 JP Retail Sales Retail demand
12:30 US Dur Goods Mfg demand
14:00 US CB Consumer Conf Key Sentiment Survey
18:00 FRB Fed Rates No Rate Change
21:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rates
23:50 JP Ind Out Production
08:55 DE unemployment
12:30 US Initial Claims
12:30 US GDP broadest growth measure
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP ECB target
12:30 US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55 US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey
||CBI Dist Trades
||Markit SVC PMI flash
||Retail Sales yy
||Case-Shil 20 yy
||CB Consumer Conf
||WK Mortgage Stats
||EIA Distillate mn
||EIA Crude mn
||EIA Gasoline mn
||EIA Cap Util
||RBNZ Cash Rate
||Ind Out p yy
Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.
John M. Bland is a founding partner of Global-View.com. He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
|Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved|
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AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
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