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No Major Surprises in European Bank Stress Tests. Early Monday Sees German IFO Survey

No Major Surprises in European Bank Stress Tests. Early Monday Sees German IFO Survey
  October 27 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

17:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
 European markets closed in a RISK-Off posture ahead  of the ECB bank stress tests on Sunday. As expected some of the results have already been leaked.  In Far East trade, equities ended mixed.  European bourses closed broadly weaker. U.S. shares are trading higher.

U.S. 10-yr yields are lower. 10-yr yields in bunds close down, while gilts ended steady. Peripheral bond yields closed mostly higher.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: DE- IFO Survey, US- flash Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales
  • The new  week starts off with a bang with the closely-followed German IFO Survey due early on Monday. Later, the U.S. flash Markit Services PMI and Pending Homes Sales data are released  
  • The closely awaited European Asset Quality Review (AQR) bank stress tests were released early Sunday and  were in line with the data leaked on Friday  The data should be of no surprise to traders.  .
  • Tuesday sees a slew of U.S. data including Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Confidence data.
  • On Wednesday, the focus will be the latest FOMC decision.  Markets have been setting up for the Fed meeting decision on Wednesday. Market stability should be important for the FOMC. Late in the U.S. day a RBNZ policy announcement.
  • Key items Thursday include German unemployment data and U.S. GDP.
  • Friday sees Japanese CPI, a BOJ policy decision, Eurozone flash HICP, U.S. Personal Income data and the final October University of Michigan Survey, Over the weekend, North American clocks are turned back one    
  • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
09:00 DE IFO Climate top German Sentiment Survey
13:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash New PMI indicator
14:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales
00:50 JP Retail Sales Retail demand
12:30 US Dur Goods Mfg demand
14:00 US CB Consumer Conf Key Sentiment Survey
18:00 FRB Fed Rates No Rate Change
21:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rates
23:50 JP Ind Out  Production
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey

Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
27/10/14 9:00 A DE IFO Climate 104.3 104.7
27/10/14 9:00 A DE IFO Current 109.9 110.5
27/10/14 9:00 A DE IFO Expectations 98.7 99.3
27/10/14 11:00 B GB CBI Dist Trades 25 31
27/10/14 13:45 A US Markit SVC PMI flash 58 58.9
27/10/14 14:00 A US Pending Homes 1.00% -1.00%
28/10/14 0:00 A TUESDAY
28/10/14 0:50 A JP Retail Sales yy 1.00% 1%
28/10/14 12:30 A US Dur Goods 0.30% -18.20%
28/10/14 12:30 A US D/G ex-trans 0.50% 0.40%
28/10/14 13:00 B US Case-Shil 20 yy 0.10% -0.50%
28/10/14 14:00 C US Richmond Fed n/a n/a
28/10/14 14:00 A US CB Consumer Conf 87 86
28/10/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 2-yr n/a n/a
28/10/14 20:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
29/10/14 0:00 A WEDNESDAY
29/10/14 11:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
29/10/14 14:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a 7.1
29/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 1.3
29/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 1.05
29/10/14 14:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 0.867
29/10/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 5-yr n/a n/a
29/10/14 18:00 A FRB Fed Rates 0.25% 0.25%
29/10/14 21:00 A NZ RBNZ Cash Rate 3.50% 3.50%
29/10/14 23:50 A JP Ind Out p yy n/a -3.30%

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
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A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
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Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
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Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales

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