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Fed Policy Decision As Expected, But Tone of Economic Comments More Bullish Than Seen

Fed Policy Decision As Expected, But Tone of Economic Comments More Bullish Than Seen
  October 30, 2014 00:00 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

15:20 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Markets remain in a RISK-ON posture heading into the FOMC policy decision in a short while. Equity traders have been buying stocks on seasonal reasons and expectations for a dovish Fed policy statement. The Bank is seen  ending  its asset purchases, which is being phased out.  In Far East trade, equities ended higher.  European bourses are higher. U.S. shares are down at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are higher. 10-yr bund and gilts yields are higher as well. Peripheral bond yields are mostly down.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

HIGH IMPACT NEWS:  NZ- RBNZ decision, DE- Unemployment,  US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr
    • Key items Thursday include German unemployment data and U.S. GDP.A RBNZ policy announcement is due very shortly.   
    • The latest FOMC decision saw he central Bank put an end to its Asset Purchase Program and kept rates steady as widely expected. The tone of the statement was seen as more hawkish than expected. Some felt the comments move forward the data for the first rate hike to Spring 2015.
    • Friday sees Japanese CPI, a BOJ policy decision, Eurozone flash HICP, U.S. Personal Income data and the final October University of Michigan Survey, Over the weekend, North American clocks are turned back one.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.
    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):

    08:55  DE unemployment
    12:30  US Initial Claims
    12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
    00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
    04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
    07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
    12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
    13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey

    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    29/10/14 21:00 A NZ RBNZ Cash Rate 3.50% 3.50%
    29/10/14 23:50 A JP Ind Out p yy n/a -3.30%
    30/10/14 8:00 A CH KOF Ind n/a 99.1
    30/10/14 8:55 A DE unem Kchg 4 12
    30/10/14 8:55 A DE unempl rate 6.70% 6.70%
    30/10/14 10:00 B EZ Cons Conf -11.1 -11.1
    30/10/14 12:30 A US Cont Claims n/a n/a
    30/10/14 12:30 A US Initial Claims 281 283
    30/10/14 12:30 A US GDP 3Q14p 3.00% 4.60%
    30/10/14 14:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 94
    30/10/14 17:00 A TRY TRY 7-yr n/a n/a
    31/10/14 0:00 A FRIDAY
    31/10/14 0:30 A JP Core CPI n/a 2.30%
    31/10/14 0:30 A JP CPI yy n/a 3.30%
    31/10/14 4:30 A JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%
    31/10/14 7:00 A DE Ret Sales mo -0.90% 3.50%
    31/10/14 7:00 A DE Ret Sales yr 1.20% 0.10%
    31/10/14 10:00 A EZ FL HICP yy 0.40% 0.30%
    31/10/14 10:00 A EZ FL HICP core yy 0.80% 0.80%
    31/10/14 10:00 C EZ Unemployment % 11.50% 11.50%
    31/10/14 12:30 A CA GDP mm n/a 0.00%
    31/10/14 12:30 A US PCE defl y 1.50% 1.50%
    31/10/14 12:30 A US Per Inc n/a n/a
    31/10/14 13:45 A US Chicago PMI 59.5 60.5
    31/10/14 13:55 A US U Mich final 86.4 86.4
    31/10/14 19:30 US COT Report n/a n/a
    01/11/14 1:00 A CN NBS PMI n/a n/a

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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