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Tuesday November 4, 2014 - 10:55:06 GMT -

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Reserve Bank of Australia Keeps Policy Steady; Talks Down AUD. UK Construction PMI Weakens

Reserve Bank of Australia Keeps  Policy Steady; Talks Down AUD. UK Construction PMI Weakens
  November 4, 2014 16:30 GMT
Daily Risk On/Off Heat Map

16:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
Early in European trading hours, markets are in a MIXED RISK posture as markets continue to consolidate after a recent bout of instability. Recent  BOJ actions are expected to intensify the pressure on the ECB to ease on Thursday. In the Far East, equities ended mixed. Japan played catch-up after its Monday holiday.  European bourses are mixed. U.S. shares are lower at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are steady. 10-yr bund and gilt yields are down slightly. Peripheral European bond yields are higher.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

HIGH IMPACT NEWS:   CA & US- Trade, US- House & Senate Elections, Trade, Factory Orders
    • Today features major U.S. elections for the Senate and House of Representatives. A change in the balance of power in the Senate to the Republicans is expected.  Results will start to arrive in the evening.
    • The Reserve Bank of Australia  kept interest rates steady as widelly expected ans also continued to talk the curency lower.
    • U.K. Construction PMI data were weakr than forecast, but still remained at elevated levels. . 
    • Wednesday sees the second wave of global PMI data and U.S. ADP Private Jobs data.
    • Key items Thursday include Australian Employment data and monetary policy decisions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
    • Friday highlights are U.S. and Canadian Employment data, plus several items from the U.K. and EZ.
    • Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.  

    Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    US National Elections Key to U.S. governance
    10:30 A AU Retail Sales domestic demand
    01:30 A AU Trade extremal accounts
    04:30 A AU Australia Reserve Bank no change seen
    09:28 A GB Construction PMI
    13:30 A US Trade  impacts GDP
    14:30 A CA Trade external accounts
    15:00 A US Factory Orders industrial demand
    00:50  JP BOJ Minutes detail on BOJ decision
    08:50  FR SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    08:55  DE SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    08:58  EZ SVC PMI final closely followed survey
    09:28  GB SVC PMI closely followed survey
    13:15  US ADP Jobs NFP predictor
    14:45  US Markit SVC PMI closely followed survey
    15:00  US ISM SVC PMI closely followed survey
    15:30 US EIA Crude impacts Oil prices
    01:30 AU Jobless employment data
    09:30 GB Ind/Mfg Output production
    11:00 GB Bank of England no changes seen
    12:45  EZ Europe Cntl Bank key decision
    13:30 EZ ECB Webcast press conference
    13:30  US Productivity key to growth
    13:30  US Initial Claims weekly data
    15:00 CA Ivey PMI closely followed survey
    09:15  CH CPI SNB targets inflation
    09:30 GB Trade External accounts
    13:30 CA Jobless Key growth measure
    13:30 US Jobless Top U.s. indicator
    15:15  FRB Yellen Paris key speech

    Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
    04/11/14 13:30 A US Trade USDb -40 -40.1
    04/11/14 14:30 A CA Trade C$bn -0.7 -0.61
    04/11/14 15:00 A US Factory Orders -0.50% -10.10%
    04/11/14 21:30 C US API Energy n/a n/a
    05/11/14 0:00 A WEDNESDAY
    05/11/14 0:50 A JP BOJ Minutes n/a n/a
    05/11/14 8:50 A FR SVC PMI final 52.4 52.4
    05/11/14 8:55 A DE SVC PMI final 54.6 54.8
    05/11/14 8:58 A EZ SVC PMI final 52.4 52.4
    05/11/14 9:28 A GB SVC PMI 58.5 58.7
    05/11/14 12:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
    05/11/14 13:15 A US ADP Jobs 219 213
    05/11/14 14:45 A US Markit SVC PMI 57.3 57.3
    05/11/14 15:00 A US ISM SVC PMI 58 58.6
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Crude mn n/a 2.01
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a -1.21
    05/11/14 15:30 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a -5.3
    05/11/14 15:30 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 86.60%
    06/11/14 0:00 A THURSDAY
    06/11/14 1:30 A AU % Jobless 6.10% 6.10%
    06/11/14 1:30 A AU Payrolls -30 21.6
    06/11/14 8:00 B DE Factory Ord mm 2.00% -5.70%
    06/11/14 8:00 B DE Factory Ord yy -1.10% -1.30%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Ind Output m 0.40% 0.00%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Ind Output y 1.60% 2.50%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Mfg Output m 0.30% 0.10%
    06/11/14 9:30 A GB Mfg Output yy 2.80% 3.90%
    06/11/14 11:00 A GB Bank of England 0.50% 0.50%
    06/11/14 11:00 A GB QE GBP bn 375 375
    06/11/14 12:45 A EZ Europe Cntl Bank 0.05% 0.05%
    06/11/14 13:30 A EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Productivity n/a n/a
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Initial Claims 283 287
    06/11/14 13:30 A US Cont Claims n/a 2.384
    06/11/14 15:00 A CA Ivey PMI n/a 58.6
    06/11/14 15:30 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a 87
    07/11/14 0:00 A FRIDAY
    07/11/14 8:00 B DE Trade eur bn 19 14
    07/11/14 8:00 B DE Ind Output yy -0.60% -2.80%
    07/11/14 9:15 A CH CPI mm 0.20% 0.00%
    07/11/14 9:15 A CH CPI yy n/a 0.10%
    07/11/14 9:30 A GB Visible Trade n/a -9.1
    07/11/14 9:30 A GB Trade- Non-EU n/a -3.59
    07/11/14 10:00 B EZ Retail Sls mm -0.80% 1.25%
    07/11/14 10:00 B EZ Retail Sls yy 1.20% 1.90%
    07/11/14 13:30 A CA Jobless % 6.80% 6.80%
    07/11/14 13:30 A CA Payrolls -7.5 74.1
    07/11/14 13:30 A CA F/T Jobs n/a n/a
    07/11/14 13:30 A US Jobless % 5.90% 5.90%
    07/11/14 13:30 A US Payrolls 228 248
    07/11/14 13:30 A US Priv Jobs 219 236
    07/11/14 15:15 A FRB Yellen Paris n/a n/a
    07/11/14 20:30 US COT Report n/a n/a

    calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar  For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

    See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

    John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
    Copyright 2014, GlobalViewpoint, Inc All rights reserved


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