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MIXED RISK: Markets Price ECB Ease Thursday. Volatile German ZEW Survey Beats

MIXED RISK: Markets Price ECB  Ease Thursday. Volatile German ZEW Survey Beats
January 21, 2015 00:00:GMT

 TOP NEWS ITEMS: NZ CPI, JA- BOJ, GB- Employment, BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts & Permits, CA- BOC Decision

Global-View Economic Chart Directory

20 January-- 17:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. U..S. equity markets have gotten off to an uneven start after they returned from the Monday holiday. In forex the USD and EUR are mixed. The is holding parity today  European equity markets are closing off their high. Markets are in a  MIXED RISK posture.ahead of expected ECB on Thursday. The volatile German ZEW survey was much stronger than expected thanks to a weaker EUR and lower energy prices. Chinese 4Q14 GDP was in line with street estimates.

In Far East trade equities closed up. Key European 10-yr yields are up. Peripheral yields are up. Traders are still adjusting to the CHF spike. U.S. equities and 10yr yield are down.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

Time  Imp Country Title Cons Last
20/01/15 21:45 A NZ 4Q CPI qq 0.00% 0.30%
20/01/15 21:45 A NZ 4Q CPI yy 0.80% 1.00%
21/01/15 4:30 A JP Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10%
21/01/15 9:30 A GB ILO Unemploy 5.90% 6.00%
21/01/15 9:30 A GB Avg Earn x-bonus 1.90% 1.60%
21/01/15 9:30 A GB Avg Earn + bonus 1.70% 1.40%
21/01/15 9:30 A GB Claimant Count k Mar -24 -26.9
21/01/15 9:30 A GB BOE Minutes n/a n/a
21/01/15 12:00 C US WK Mortgage Stats n/a n/a
21/01/15 13:30 A US House Starts 1.042 1.028
21/01/15 13:30 A US House Permits 1.055 1.035
21/01/15 15:00 A CA BOC Rates+MPR 1.00% 1.00%
21/01/15 21:30 C US Weekly Energy n/a n/a
22/01/15 0:00 A THURSDAY
22/01/15 11:00 B GB CBI Ind Output Trends n/a 16
22/01/15 12:45 A EZ Europe Cntl Bank 0.05% 0.05%
22/01/15 13:30 A EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a
22/01/15 13:30 A US Initial Claims 300 316
22/01/15 13:30 A US Cont Claims n/a n/a
22/01/15 15:00 B EZ Cons Conf prelim -10.5 -10
22/01/15 16:00 A US EIA Crude mn n/a 5.3
22/01/15 16:00 B US EIA Gasoline mn n/a 3.17
22/01/15 16:00 A US EIA Distillate mn n/a 2.93
22/01/15 16:00 B US EIA Cap Util n/a 91.00%
22/01/15 17:00 C US Nat Gas bcf n/a n/a
23/01/15 0:00 A FRIDAY
23/01/15 1:35 A JP flash PMI n/a 52
23/01/15 1:45 A CN HSBC flash PMI n/a 49.6
23/01/15 8:00 A FR MFG PMI flash 48.1 47.5
23/01/15 8:00 A FR SVC PMI flash 50.9 50.6
23/01/15 8:28 A DE MFG PMI flash 51.7 51.2
23/01/15 8:28 A DE SVC PMI flash 51 50.6
23/01/15 8:58 A EZ flash MFG PMI 51 50.6
23/01/15 8:58 A EZ flash SVC PMI 52 51.6
23/01/15 9:30 A GB Ret Sls x-fuel mm -0.70% 1.70%
23/01/15 9:30 A GB Ret Sls X-fuel yy 3.30% 6.90%
23/01/15 9:30 A GB Ret Sls mm -0.60% 1.60%
23/01/15 9:30 A GB Ret Sls yy 3.30% 6.40%
23/01/15 13:30 A CA BOC CPI y n/a 2.10%
23/01/15 13:30 A CA CPI mm -0.50% -0.20%
23/01/15 13:30 A CA CPI yy 1.70% 2.00%
23/01/15 14:45 A US Mfg MKt PMI flash 54 53.9
23/01/15 15:00 A US Existing Homes 5.07 4.93
23/01/15 15:00 B US Lead Ind n/a n/a
23/01/15 20:30 US COT Report n/a n/a


See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and  comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

John M. BlandJohn M. Bland is a founding partner of He was a FX consultant to major corporations. He has also been a institutional forex trader, FX analyst for a blue chip Fed watching service and an author. John has an MBA in Finance and a BA in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 26 Feb 2018
A 15:00 US- New Homes Sales
Tue 27 Feb 2018
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
B 13:30 US- Durable Goods
A 15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
A 15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
AA 15:00 US- Powell House Testimony
Wed 28 Feb 2018
A 10:00 EZ- flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- GDP
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Mar 2018
A All Day final Mfg PMIs
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 13:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
AA 15:00 US- Powell Senate Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Fri 2 Mar 2018
AA 15:00 US- final Univ of Mich

John M. Bland, MBA
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