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Monday June 22, 2015 - 15:38:03 GMT
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| | Email US Mid-Session Update: Greece and Eurozone Play Final Jeopardy

 Mon, 22 Jun 2015 11:08 AM EST

***Economic data***
- (PT) Portugal Apr Current Account Balance: -€0.4B v -€38.0M prior
- (IL) Israel May Unemployment Rate: 5.0 v 4.8% prior
- (IE) Ireland May PPI M/M: -2.4% v +0.1% prior; Y/Y: 6.3 v 9.0% prior
- (US) May Chicago Fed National Activity Index: -0.17 v +0.16e
- (IL) Israel Central Bank left its Base Rate unchanged at 0.10%, as expected
- (MX) Mexico Apr Retail Sales M/M: -0.3% v +0.5%e; Y/Y: 4.6% v 5.2%e
- (BR) Brazil May Current Account Balance: -$3.37B v -$4.6Be; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): $6.61B v $4.2Be
- (EU) Euro Zone Jun Advance Consumer Confidence: -5.6 v -5.8e
- (US) May Existing Home Sales: 5.35M v 5.28Me

Markets are reacting with outsized exuberance to reports the Europeans are making a last-ditch effort to reach a deal with Athens. The CAC and the DAX are looking to close up ~3.8% a piece on the day, while the bund has shot up 14 basis points to 0.884%. EUR/USD is around 1.1400. The UST 10-year yield is up nine basis points at 2.347%, and US stocks are seeing decent gains. As of writing, the DJIA is up 0.79%, the S&P500 is up 0.85% and the Nasdaq is up 0.64%.

The emergency Eurozone summit came and went without a deal, although there was talk the Greek government was making concessions on moving the retirement age to 67 and increasing the VAT tax on certain items. The Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem called the proposals a step in the right direction and confirmed there will be an EU leaders' summit later today. With money flowing out of the Greek financial system, the ECB raised the ELA ceiling to €87.8B from €84.1B

The May existing home sales data was very strong, with the 5.35M figure the highest since November 2009, topping the previous cycle high of 5.31M seen in July 2013, just prior to the taper tantrum decline. The regional Chicago Fed manufacturing survey was a bit soft, but more or less in line on a m/m basis.

Cigna received and rejected a $47 billion takeover offer from Anthem, valued at $184/shr, an 18% premium to Friday's closing price. Cigna called the bid "inadequate" and said it was skewed heavily in favor of Anthem shareholders. Another two US-listed Chinese firms received going-private offers, Vimicro and China Information Technology. Finally, Martha Stewart's ailing Omnimedia outfit has been bought by retail licensing firm Sequential Brands for $353 million in cash and stock.

***Looking Ahead***
- 16:00 (US) Crop Condition Report
- 20:00 (AU) Australia Apr Conference Board Leading Index M/M: No est v -0.1% prior
- 21:30 (AU) Australia Q1 House Price Index Q/Q: 2.0%e v 1.9% prior;
Y/Y: 7.4%e v 6.8% prior
- 21:35 (JP) Japan Jun Preliminary Markit Japan PMI Manufacturing: 50.5e v 50.9 prior
- 21:45 (CN) China Jun Preliminary HSBC PMI Manufacturing: 49.4e v 49.2 prior


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