Sunday July 5, 2015 - 12:19:18 GMT
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EXCLUSIVE CHARTS: Comparative PMI Data for U.S., EZ, U.K. and Japan
I use the PMI Manufacturing reports as a benchmark for how economies are currently perfoming. Manufacturing PMI data tend to be a good reflection of current conditions. I have not found them to be very good forecasts of future economic performance. My charts are three-month moving averages. I smooth the data to remove "noise" from the reports. Currently, you can see how the U.S. has started to recover from the slowdown in the first part of this year, but it has a long way to go to reach recent peak levels seen in late 2014. The Eurozone has ben on a steady recover path all year and might even be accelerating. According to these data, the U.K. rebound has been running out of steam. Japan continues on a lackluster path in spite of all the optimistic talk from the Japanese govenment and central bank. In terms of forex, these data are supporttove of the USD and EUR, and neutral for the GBP and JPY. John M.Bland Co-founder Global-View.com .
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