Monday May 23, 2016 - 11:54:06 GMT
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Exclusive Brexit Poll Update: Should You Trust the Polls?
The price action in sterling, which rose sharply mid-week following the latest public polls indicating a wide swing in favor of remaining in the EU, shows the sensitivity to any apparent shift in sentiment. I use the word apparent due to the sharp contrast between public polls and online polls, including ours, which continues to show a strong expectation for Brexit (see results below). For example, an online poll published on Friday showed a 4 point lead for Leave vs. an 18 point lead for Remain in the Guardian/ICM phone poll released on Wednesday. .
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