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Friday July 22, 2016 - 22:59:31 GMT
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Trading Focus Turns To Japan And the Yen

John M. Bland, MBA

Abe Stimulus Worry
The focus in the latest week has turned from Brexit to the major economic stimulus plan promised by Japanese PM Abe after a major political gains in the latest elections. One disappointment came when BOJ Governor Kuroda indicated in a BBC Radio documentary broadcast on Thursday. In the interview, Kuroda threw cold water on the idea of "Helicopter Money". "Helicopter Money" is a concept introduced by former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, where the central bank in essence "prints" money to finance government spending to stimulate growth. One concept being proposed for Japan was for the BOJ to purchase perpetual bonds from the government with a zero percent coupon. Thus the government would get the funds in a manner that would not adversely impact the budget. Kuroda said that such a scheme would not be legal.

Traders also started to react negatively to in-depth analyses of PM Abe's major stimulus program. As typically has happened in the past, the actual spending is proving not to be as large as the headlines were suggesting. The Nikkei closed down 231 points on Friday.

Current Trading Conditions
The two top currencies, the U.S. dollar and the Euro slipped into the background in the latest week, with this pair trading in a weekly range of only just over one cent. Together, the two dominate trading volume in the forex markets and share the role as reserve currencies. Most of the volatility in the latest week was dominated by thr yen and sterling as dealers focused on what actions the Abe government will be taking to stimulate the sluggish Japanese economy. By the end of the week, there were growing concerns that the program would be inadequate. As for the British pound, a flash post-Brexit PMI report had some speculating the Bank of England will have to take strong action soon to bolster economic growth.

POLL: SHOULD THE UK RESTRICT IMMIGRATION?



WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

25-Jul MON
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
26-Jul TUE
00:30 AU- CPI
13:45 US- flash SVC PMI
14:00 US- CB Confidence
14:00 US- New Homes Sales
27-Jul WED
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Durable Goods
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
14:30 US- Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision & Presser
28-Jul THU
07:55 DE- Employment
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jul FRI
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
09:00 EZ- GDP, flash HICP
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- final U of Mich


Be sure to refer daily Global-View to see the continuously UPDATED Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


John M. Bland
co-founder
www.global-view.com

 

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Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

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Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."



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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- FOMC Minutes
Thu 23 Nov
US/JP- Holiday
All Day flash PMIs
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
Fri 24 Nov
All Day flash PMIs
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
US- Early Closes

Forex Trading Outlook


Potential Trading Opportunities


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

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EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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