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Friday November 25, 2016 - 20:41:23 GMT
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United States Government In Transition

 

John M. Bland, MBA

Fed Chair Yellen Confirms Rate Hike
Markets are adjusting to the reality of a Trump Presidency, however a few of his second-tier opponents have started a campaign for a vote recount in a few of the key battleground states. These create a little uncertainty but are unlikely to change the overall results. At this juncture, Hillary Clinton is not behind the effort. Otherwise, President-elect Trump is working hard at hiring his new government. Under the U.S. system, most of the key jobs must be refilled when a new President is installed. Under them are full-time civil service technocrats who remain in place when a new government comes on the scene. Pundits like to scrutinize the new President's appointees to see politically where he is likely to govern from. So far, Trump appointees suggest he is moving more to the center than his campaign rhetoric might have indicated. This is a relief for many who had been fearing a confrontational administration from him. The President still will not be installed until Friday, January 20, 2017. President Obama remains completely in charge until that date. As For Fed Chair Yellen, her term runs until early 2018. At that time, the new President will appoint, with the approval of Congress, the next Fed Chair.

Current Conditions
Markets have become more comfortable with the prospects for a Trump Presidency. This has seen the value of the USD and equities rise. Simultaneously, the economy was already starting to show increased signs of an improvement, and the Fed has been sending signals that it intends to raise its Fed Funds target by 25pb at its next meeting on November 14. Fed Funds Futures odds on a rate increase at that meeting are in excess of 100%. The increased prospects for monetary policy "normalization" has seen bond yields rising sharply. The 10-yr note has traded to above 2.40% from 1.87% on election day (November 8) before any results had been reported. Rising U.S. interest rates ahead of the Fed have been fueling the USD advance.



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The week ahead  features the global final PMI indices for December. On Friday, U.S. and Canadian employment data for November  will be released. The following Sunday will see the highly anticipated Italian consttutional referendum, which could be a trigger for the existing government to fall.

 

Be sure to refer daily Global-View to see the continuously UPDATED Economic Calendar and the Forex Forum for the complete list of key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.


John M. Bland
co-founder
www.global-view.com

 

Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."



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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Wed 18 Oct
12:30 US- Housing Starts & Permits
14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 19 Oct
01:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 20 Oct
12:30 CA- Retail Sales & CPI
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales

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  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue-- 08:30 GMT GB- CPI top tier confirmation of Inflation.

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Tue-- 09:00 GMT DE- ZEW Survey second most important German monthly Survey.

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Tue-- 09:00 GMT EZ- final HICP revision to flash report. Revisions are usually minor.

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Tue-- 13:15 GMT US- Industrial Production. Top output indicator.



  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed-- 12:30 GMT US- Housing Starts and Permits revision to flash report. Useful housing leading indicator.

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed-- 14:30 GMT US- EIA Crude. Top WTI inventory measure.



  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Thu-- 01:30 GMT AU- Employment. Top economic indicator.


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Thu-- 02:00 GMT CN- GDP. Top economic indicator.


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Thu-- 08:30 GMT GB- Retail Sales. Top consumption indicator.


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Thu-- 12:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless. Employment Indicator.



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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