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Thursday November 17, 2005 - 13:12:34 GMT
FX Thoughts for the Day - www.fxthoughts.com

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Fx-Thoughts for the day - Evening - 17-11-05....1216 GMT

Euro @ 1.1670/3...Buyers at 1.1650?
-----------------------------------
R: 1.1712 / 1.1732 / 1.1768
S: 1.1646 / 1.1616 / 1.1583
The Euro is trading in a downward sloping channel on the Daily candles, with channel resistance at 1.1732 and Support at 1.1616. More immediate range on the 4-hour chart is 1.1712-1646. In case of a break above 1.1732, we may expect a further rise to 1.1805. On the downside, a clear fall below 1.1635 would be needed to trigger the next leg of the downmove. No trades at the moment.


$-Yen @ 118.84/88...Either 118.35 or 119.31
--------------------------------------------------
R: 119.00 / 119.31 / 119.49-59
S: 118.49-32 / 118.21 / 118.08
The market has been kind after a long time. It triggered our Buy Order at 118.50 and even gave us profit at 118.95 on our Limit Order. While below 119.00 now, expect a slow decline towards 118.35 initially and then 118.21. In case of a rise above 119.00, we may see 119.31 (earlier high of the day) being tested again. No trades.


Euro-Yen @ 138.70/75....Any which way
------------------------------------------
R: 139.05 / 139.62 / 140.00
S: 138.49 / 138.12 / 137.92
The Cross continues to trade more or less in the middle of the wide 138-140 range and narrower range of 138.49-139.05. Can go anywhere within this range. Hence no trades. Stay out.




$-Swiss @ 1.3236/41....Vulnerable to fall? Or not?
---------------------------------------------------
R: 1.3264 / 1.3289 / 1.3323
S: 1.3202-3193 / 1.3170 / 1.3142
Dollar-Swiss rose to 1.3287 again today and has come off from there. That's the second time its run into Sellers above 1.3285 - yesterday and today. This suggests the Dollar could be getting top-heavy and could be vulnerable to a fall. Watch Supports at 1.3202. If this is broken, the market could move down towards 1.3170 initially and then 1.3142. BUT, if the Support at 1.3202 holds through the day today, there are chances of an upmove past 1.3290 tomorrow to be considered also.


Cable @ 1.7191/96....See 1.7050 if 1.7130 breaks
------------------------------------------------
R: 1.7212-22 / 1.7265-72
S: 1.7167 / 1.7137 / 1.7082
Today might be a small pause on the Cable's downward journey, targeting 1.7048. Contrarily, if the Cable manages to remain above 1.7167 and 1.7137 (chances are small though), it might attempt a rise past 1.7222. If successful, it may test 1.7265-72.

Unfortunately, our Short at 1.7172 of the morning has been stopped out in an intraday spike to 1.7222. Staying out now.




Aussie @ 0.7326/31...Big move in the offing
-------------------------------------------
R: 0.7324-35 / 0.7347 / 0.7362
S: 0.7297 / 0.7286 / 0.7261
The Aussie has been finding good buying support every day for the last four days from 0.7261 coming up every 10 pips or so. This is potentially bullish. However,at the same time, it finds strong Resistance near 0.7335 on the Daily Candles today. This is potentially bearish. In effect, the Aussie is at the cross roads and may remain between 0.7281-0.7338 going into tomorrow. But thereafter, a strong move may be in the offing, either up towards 0.7370 or down towards 0.7250.




Happy Trading!

 

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