User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Wednesday June 30, 2004 - 12:38:49 GMT
FX Thoughts for the Day - www.fxthoughts.com

Share This Story:
| | Email

FX Thoughts - Evening - 30/06/04.......1225 GMT

Euro @ 1.2162/7....July outlook
-----------------------------------------
R: 1.2126-47 / 1.2197 / 1.2313
S: 1.2117-00 / 1.2082 / 1.2047
The Euro is still in an uptrend on the Monthly chart, while above the important/ crucial Support at 1.1930. Below that we have very strong Support in the 1.1687-1475 region which might be used for building medium/ long term Long positions

On the upside, a rise above 1.2360 could take the Euro up to 1.2710


$-Yen @ 108.84/9....July outlook
--------------------------------
R: 109.27-39 / 109.65 / 109.80-98
S: 108.71-93 / 108.55-35 / 108.11
We may expect USDJPY to trade in a 105-115 range in July, with a bearish tone. Resistance to watch (besides 115) will be 111.04 (immediate), 112.04 (strong and crucial) and 114.35 (strong and crucial). The Supports are 108.10 and 107.10 (crucial)

Our Short at 108.55 was stopped out at 109.00.


Euro-Yen @ 132.40/5...Mixed up in July also
---------------------------------------------
R: 132.46 / 132.78-82 / 133.41-65
S: 131.92 / 131.62-42 / 131.30
The Cross has risen sharply today, throwing our expectations on USDJPY and USDCHF all out of kilter. The mistake was ours that we did not notice a very strong Monthly Support at 130.80

EURJPY is likely to continue to trade in a yo-yo fashion between 130-137 through July, not favouring either of its constituents in particular. This could also imply that both the Euro and the Yen will (in general) either strengthen or weaken agains the Dollar. As we've seen above, the Monthly charts remain bearish for the Dollar against both Euro and Yen. So, that's something to keep in mind.


$-Swiss @ 1.2523/8....July outlook
----------------------------------
R: 1.2601-13 / 1.2635 / 1.2729-47
S: 1.2567-64 / 1.2538-19 / 1.2505
As it turns out, we had a very good Short position at 1.2610, but we let it go cheaply by taking profit at 1.2590. The reason we kept a very modest Take Profit was that yesterday's rally to 1.2679 was more than we'd expected. It got us scared a bit and we wanted to be square ahead of the FOMC. Conversely, our Short position in USDJPY, which we were more sure of was stopped out. C'est a vie.

The Monthly chart looks bearish and suggests an eventual fall towards 1.20, unless there's a strong and sustained rise above 1.30. The immediate Resistance to look out for will be 1.2650. Oh woe, we saw this Monthly Resistance NOW, instead of in the morning. Wouldn't have changed our trade, though, for we would have been scared of a Month Close above 1.2650 in that case.

On the downside, the market will have to contend with 1.2183, the Feb-04 low.


Cable @ 1.8117/22...The City Bluff
------------------------------------
R: 1.8112-24 / 1.8145 / 1.8180-01
S: 1.8065 / 1.7937 / 1.7881
The sharp rise in the Cable after the sharp fall in the morning (reversing all of the fall) is a little typical of Cable on UK data days. City (of London) traders, all members of various old boys club will first trade the market to one side, so they can trigger stops and then trade the market back to where it was (or better) on release of the data. Of course, it takes guts to call the City's bluff, like it always is the case with every other bluff.

1.8080-70 is a crucial Support on the Monthly chart. Should the Cable close above it today, it will remain technically bullish for an eventual rise towards 1.90. In case it closes below 1.8070 today, there could be chances of a fall towards 1.7500-7450 in July.

With 0.68 likely to provide strong Resistance on the EURGBP Monthly chart, we would need to be careful about selling Cable aggressively.




Happy Trading!

 

Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."



Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 17 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony
Wed 18 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony
Thu 19 July 2018
AA 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 20 Jun 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube



Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.


Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105