Tuesday February 14, 2006 - 11:25:29 GMT
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Black Swan Capital - www.blackswantrading.com
â€śIt is the customary fate of new truths to begin as heresies and to end as superstitions.â€ť
This is NOT the stuff of recovery:
Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- The German economy, Europe's largest, failed to grow in the fourth quarter as consumers pared spending and companies curbed production.
Itâ€™s not a stretch to expect the ECB may decide to err on the side of caution. While on the other side of the pond, itâ€™s not a stretch to expect the Fed to err on the side of aggression.
Thus, A + B = The surprise of another round of rising US, or at least very positive, yield differential against the euro at a time when the two economies diverge on the growth side of the equation. Hmmmâ€¦!! This isnâ€™t exactly setting the stage for the revved-up dollar bears in â€™06.
Jack Crooks, Black Swan Capital
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