User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Monday June 12, 2006 - 10:54:12 GMT
Mellon Bank Foreign Exchange -

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex: Mellon FX Daily - European Edition

Key Points
• Market uncertainty remains high - this week’s US inflation data will be significant.
• Short-term downside risk on EUR-USD.
• Japanese CGPI prices inflation at 25-yr high.

Market Outlook

Not much has happened overnight, with EUR-USD perched above short-term support at 1.2590-1.2600 but still below the previous range support area running from 1.2685-1.2725. As long as it stays below that area there is some downside risk back towards the 1.2350-1.2500 area.

Overall, market uncertainty about a number of issues, largely relating to inflation and interest rates, will remain in place in the short-term and there are events this week with the potential to strongly influence sentiment on these matters. US inflation data (PPI Tuesday, CPI Wednesday) will be key in this regard and most will take a cautious approach until this data is seen. There is a chance if more EUR-USD long position liquidation ahead of those releases. IMM data showed that as of last Tuesday net longs for spec accounts advanced to a new record of 88,196 contracts, up 3,080 from the previous week. Of course, EURUSD was still just above 1.28 back then and this positioning is likely to have since fallen given the price action that has been seen. However, it is still likely to be fairly large.

Inflation is also showing in Japan, with the domestic corporate goods price index y/y rate rising to a 25-yr high (+3.3%). On the basis of what can be seen in the sub-components, this is primarily due to energy and metals prices (there is no core rate) so the market will probably want to wait and see until this filters through to CPI becoming overly excited. This week’s BoJ meeting is unlikely to reveal anything new.

Day Ahead
UK – PPI data (especially core PPI output) will be closely watched given the heightened focus on inflation numbers at the present time, as well as the fact that this particular core y/y measure has been edging up in recent months (it was +2.3% last month).

US – Pianalto is the only Fed speaker formally scheduled to talk about issues considered sensitive for monetary policy and a reiteration of the inflation concerns offered by other Fed
speakers seems the most likely outcome. Bernanke is due to talk later on about banking supervision and he will take questions afterwards, so there is an outside chance of some comments about inflation or the economy.

Data/event EDT Consensus*

Market Holiday - Australia
SE Unemployment rate (May) 09.00 4.5%
IT Ind prod (Apr) m/m 09.00 +0.7%
GB PPI input (May) m/m 09.30 +0.2%
GB PPI output (May, nsa) m/m 09.30 +0.2%
GB PPI output core (May) y/y 09.30 +2.4%
GB ODPM house prices (Apr) y/y 09.30 +4.4%
CA Capacity utilisation (Q1) 13.30 86.4%
US Fed’s Pianalto speaks on economy and policy 14.15
US Fed’s Olson speaks 16.30
US Federal Budget (May) 19.00 -$36.6bn
NZ Retail trade (Apr) m/m 23.45 +0.5%
US Fed’s Bernanke speaks 00.30
AU NAB business survey (May) 02.30 +12 last

Latest data Actual Consensus*
JP GDP (Q1 2nd est) q/q +0.8% +0.8%
JP Domestic CGPI (May) y/y +3.3% +2.8%
JP Current account (Apr, sa) ¥1.1trn ¥1.55trn
CN CPI (May) y/y +1.4% +1.3%
JP Consumer confidence (May) 49.9 50.6
DE WPI (May) y/y +5.0% +3.2% last
* Consensus unless stated

2005, Mellon Financial Corporation Note: Although obtained from sources believed by us to be reliable, Mellon Financial Corporation and its affiliates cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information upon which this report is based. This report does not purport to disclose the risks or benefits of entering into particular transactions and should not be construed as advice in any specific instance. The views in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice.
Ian Gunner 44 20 7163 5996 06.40 EDT Monday May 31 2005


Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Elevate Your Trading With The Amazing Trader!

The Amazing Trader includes:
  • Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.
  • Live trading strategy sessions.
  • Market Updates with Trading Tools.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

Trading Ideas for 18 December 2017

Register for the Amazing Trader


Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 18 Dec
10:00 EZ- final HICP
Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays

Forex Trading Outlook

Potential Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points Updated

EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated


Trader's Advocate Articles..


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105