User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Monday July 17, 2006 - 21:01:47 GMT
Westpac Institutional Bank -

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex: Westpac Institutional Bank Morning Report

New Zealand Dollar NZ CPI the last straw
A much higher than expected CPI saw the NZD well supported over the 0.6200 level with it briefly posting a four week high of 0.6226. On the flip side the NZ bill market was slaughtered with 2 year swaps rising by almost 13bps and December bank bill futures selling off by 7bps. The NZD also benefited against its Australian counterpart with the cross testing 0.8270. Overnight the currency held its ground against the USD as other markets went risk averse and as a result forged ahead against the AUD to reach a new high of 0.8319.

Australian Dollar: AUD falls out of favour
The AUD opened on its highs but any chance of further gains were quickly snuffed out by plenty of selling interest – firstly against a resurgent NZD and secondly from lower risk appetite amid growing tensions in the Middle East. By late afternoon the AUD was sitting just above 0.7500 with all the signs that it would drift lower. Overnight it tried to rally back toward the 0.7530 level but succumbed to further selling pressure and ended the session below 0.7500.

Major Currencies: All eyes on Middle East
The USD has continued to push higher as geopolitical tensions remain in the headlines. As fighting between Israel and Lebanon rages on the threat of it spilling over into neighbouring oil producing countries has caused the price of oil to hit record highs and investors have become dollar buyers. A strong US industrial output report has also added support to USD as June output rose 0.8%. European currencies were hit hard with the euro slumping to 1.2511, later recovering slightly to today’s open at 1.2526. Sterling fell to 1.8177, a two week low, against the dollar despite strong housing data. The traditional safe haven currency, Swiss Franc, ironically lost ground and opens today at 1.2473.

US industrial production up 0.8% in June. Industrial production posted a solid June gain, making up for May’s weak growth (revised up from –0.1%). All major industrial sectors posted gains, with the standouts being autos up 3.3% and mining up 1.2%. Both of those are probably not sustainable, but core manufacturing, excluding those sectors, still managed a 0.5% rise. This is a solid report, consistent with the steady – though not spectacular – readings from the national ISM manufacturing survey over most of the past year (and also the regional surveys – more below). Note also the inexorable upswing in the rate of capacity utilisation, which reached 82.4% in June, a six year high.

The NY Fed manufacturing index falls from 29.0 to 15.6. This early look at the local industrial sector in July revealed a sharp pullback in all activity measures (except jobs), reversing June’s spike. This survey occasionally sees monthly noise: there was a similar spike and pull-back in February-March. But in the mid teens – close to where the neighbouring Philly Fed survey is lying – the NY Fed is still indicating a solid industrial sector performance. We do not expect to see a similar drop in the much steadier Philly survey (due Thursday).

Canadian auto sales fell 1.0% in May, in line with earlier guidance from StatsCan, who also indicated that in June, sales “declined slightly”.

Euroland CPI was unrevised at 2.5% yr in June despite national data suggesting some chance of a slightly lower final read. The core rate edged a little higher, to be 0.2 pts above the 1.2% yr low recorded at the start of this year. Also, there was a solid 1.6% bounce in industrial production in May, consistent with national data already released.

UK house prices as measured by Rightmove (an internet real estate firm) jumped 2.9% in July, for a 10.8% yr annual rate. The monthly gain was the biggest on record for this five year old survey. Rightmove noted that the supply of houses dipped as it typically does in the summer, but the number of househunters remained strong.

Events Today
Country Release Last Forecast
US Jun Producer Prices/Core 0.2%/0.3% 0.1%/0.2%
May TIC Data USDbn 46.7 n/f
Jul NAHB Housing Market Index 42 40
Fedspeak: Governor Warsh
Jpn May Tertiary Activity Index 1.3% 0.4%
UK Jun House Prices net balance % 20 20
Jun CPI/Core %yr 2.2%/1.1% 2.1%/1.1%
Eur May Trade Balance s.a. EURbn –0.9 n/f
Ger Jul ZEW Economic Sentiment 37.8 40.0

Latest Research papers/Publication
• NZ Q2 CPI Review (17 July)
• NZ Weekly Forex Outlook (17 July)
• Drivers of visitor numbers to NZ (14 July)
• NZ Economic Overview July 2006 (11 July)
• NZ Q2 QSBO Review (11 July)
• NZ Q2 CPI Preview (11 July)
• NZ Interest Rate Strategy Weekly (11 July)
• NZ Weekly Forex Outlook (10 July)
• NZ Monetary Policy Update (5 July)
These papers/publications are available on Online Research on
Westpac Institutional Bank’s website (

Westpac Banking Corporation ABN 33 007 457 141 incorporated in Australia (NZ division). Information current as at 24 May 2005. All customers please note that this information has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this you should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness, having regard to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Australian customers can obtain Westpac's financial services guide by calling +612 9284 8372, visiting or visiting any Westpac Branch. The information may contain material provided directly by third parties, and while such material is published with permission, Westpac accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any such material. Except where contrary to law, Westpac intends by this notice to exclude liability for the information. The information is subject to change without notice and Westpac is under no obligation to update the information or correct any inaccuracy which may become apparent at a later date. Westpac Banking Corporation is regulated for the conduct of investment business in the United Kingdom by the Financial Services Authority. © 2004 Westpac Banking Corporation. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The forecasts given in this document are predictive in character. Whilst every effort has been taken to ensure that the assumptions on which the forecasts are based are reasonable, the forecasts may be affected by incorrect assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The ultimate outcomes may differ substantially from these forecasts.


Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."

Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 17 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony
Wed 18 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
AA 14:00 US-Powell Testimony
Thu 19 July 2018
AA 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 20 Jun 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube

Max McKegg's Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries.

Request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service.


Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map

Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.



By using this website, you are agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use, and Cookie Policy

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105