User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

Forex News Blog
Back to The Headlines
Thursday October 19, 2006 - 21:07:13 GMT
Westpac Institutional Bank - www.westpac.co.nz

Share This Story:
| | Email

Forex: Westpac Institutional Bank Morning Report

New Zealand Dollar Weak USD sees NZD up near .6700
With no significant data releases yesterday the NZD traded in a narrow 0.6625/47 range in the local session. It was a different story overnight however, with broad based USD weakness prompting NZD buying, with rumours of buying to clear short positions also fuelling the move. The currency opens this morning just shy of its overnight highs around 0.6690

Australian Dollar: AUD rallies to 6-week high The AUD started the day at 0.7550 but again failed to break out of it’s recent 0.7540-60 range. Good selling interest, rumoured to be related to M&A flows was seen early in the offshore session, however a soft USD saw the AUD rally through key resistance levels around 0.7570- 75 to trade just short of 0.7600

Major Currencies: Philly index dampens dollar
The US dollar is down against all the major currencies today following the October Philadelphia Federal Reserve factory index release which failed to impress with another negative reading. The euro has spiked higher from recent lows near 1.2500 trading up to a high of 1.2626 overnight following the US data. The Sterling had a mixed overnight session with their retail sales falling 0.4 percent for the month of Sept in comparison to expectations of a 0.3 percent rise. This saw the GBP fall to a low of 1.8665. However this was a short lived sell off as USD weakness boosted the sterling to two week highs of 1.8792. The Yen opens today, after reaching two week lows, at 118.12 on the back of the dollar slide.

US leading index posted its first positive reading in three months in Sept, albeit a very modest 0.1% gain. Smoothed annual growth in the leading index has slowed to a little below 1% in Q3, from 8+% at its peak in 2004, which clearly points to weaker growth in the quarters ahead. Note however that in the last (very mild) recession in 2001, annual growth in the leading index slowed to below –2%, so we are not yet seeing a signal of especially weak times ahead.

Initial jobless claims dipped to 299k last week. We always have to be careful when there is a public holiday in the week concerned (last week had Columbus Day), because that can prevent some people from registering. But as the data stand, given that last week was the survey week for payrolls, there are grounds to expect a stronger jobs report for Oct than the 55k rise we saw in Sept.

Italian industry orders surged 8.2% in Aug on top of a 2.3% Jul bounce. With German orders data strong as well, that points to a healthy Euroland orders report next week.

UK retail sales fell 0.4% in Sept. Non-food store sales fell 0.9%. This soft end to the quarter means that consumer spending won’t be strong enough for GDP to sustain Q2’s 0.7% pace in Q3. We remain very comfortable with our 0.5% forecast (data due tonight).
Australian

US Philly Fed index slips from –0.4 to –0.7 in Oct. The Philadelphia Fed factory index headline failed to recover at all, in fact it slipped marginally further below zero. This is a very strange result, as Philly businessmen reported a 15 pt turnaround in orders, a 13 pt turnaround in shipments, and continued strength in jobs earlier this month. The headline is not a composite of the detail, it is a separate indication of respondents’ assessment of business conditions, and despite falling energy prices and a record stock market, something has held back these bosses’ confidence in the current situation. That said, the other part of the survey, on six month expectations, revealed a headline bounce from -0.2 to 16.7!

Events Today
Country Release Last Forecast
NZ Sep Net Migration ann. total 12.5k n/f
Aust Q3 Export Price Index 3.6% 1.1%
Q3 Import Price Index 2.3% -1.0%
Sep New Motor Vehicle Sales -2.3% n/f
Jpn Aug All-Industry Activity -0.4% 1.0%
UK Q3 GDP 0.7% 0.5%
Can Sep Consumer Price Index %yr 2.1% 1.1%
Sep CPI Core Ex 8 %yr 1.5% 1.3%

Latest Research papers/Publication
• NZ Q3 CPI Preview/OCR Preview (18 October)
• Inflation expectations and the OCR (16 October)
• NZ Weekly Forex Outlook (16 October)
• Off the fence (13 October)
• NZ Economic Overview October 2006 (11 October)
• Reweighting to the rescue? (10 October)
• NZ Q3 QSBO Review (10 October)
• A misleading rev counter? (9 October)
These papers/publications are available on Online Research on Westpac
Institutional Bank’s website (www.wib.westpac.co.nz)

Westpac Banking Corporation ABN 33 007 457 141 incorporated in Australia (NZ division). Information current as at 24 May 2005. All customers please note that this information has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this you should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness, having regard to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Australian customers can obtain Westpac's financial services guide by calling +612 9284 8372, visiting www.westpac.com.au or visiting any Westpac Branch. The information may contain material provided directly by third parties, and while such material is published with permission, Westpac accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any such material. Except where contrary to law, Westpac intends by this notice to exclude liability for the information. The information is subject to change without notice and Westpac is under no obligation to update the information or correct any inaccuracy which may become apparent at a later date. Westpac Banking Corporation is regulated for the conduct of investment business in the United Kingdom by the Financial Services Authority. © 2004 Westpac Banking Corporation. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The forecasts given in this document are predictive in character. Whilst every effort has been taken to ensure that the assumptions on which the forecasts are based are reasonable, the forecasts may be affected by incorrect assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The ultimate outcomes may differ substantially from these forecasts.

 

Forex Trading News

Forex Research

Daily Forex Market News
Forex news reports can be found on the forex research headlines page below. Here you will find real-time forex market news reports provided by respected contributors of currency trading information. Daily forex market news, weekly forex research and monthly forex news features can be found here.

Forex News
Real-time forex market news reports and features providing other currency trading information can be accessed by clicking on any of the headlines below. At the top of the forex blog page you will find the latest forex trading information. Scroll down the page if you are looking for less recent currency trading information. Scroll to the bottom of fx blog headlines and click on the link for past reports on forex. Currency world news reports from previous years can be found on the left sidebar under "FX Archives."



Elevate Your Trading With The Amazing Trader!

The Amazing Trader includes:
  • Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.
  • Live trading strategy sessions.
  • Market Updates with Trading Tools.

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader


Trading Ideas for 18 December 2017

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Tue 19 Dec
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Current Account
Wed 20 Dec
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 Dec
03:00 JP- BOJ Decision
13:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
13:30 US Weely Jobless
13:30 US- GDP
Fri 22 Dec
09:30 US- GB- GDP
13:30 US- core PCE Deflator & Presonal Income
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan
17:00 US- early Closes
Mon 25 Dec
00:00 Christmas Holidays

Forex Trading Outlook


Potential Trading Opportunities

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Mon--10:00 GMT-- EZ- final November HICP. flash data are rarely changed.


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium Tue --09:00 GMT-- DE- IFO Survey. Key report but usually not a market-mover
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH- Medium- Tue --13:30 GMT-- US- Housing Starts and Permits. Leading indicators of activity

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH-Medium- Wed --15:00-- US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing statistic
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium- Wed --15:30-- US- EIA Crude

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Max McKeggs Daily Forex Trading Forecasts

Veteran FX Trader, Max McKegg, forecasts all the Major currencies and the Australasians; providing Daily and Medium Term Trading forecasts to subscribers, who include large Banks the world over, as well as individual traders in more than 30 different countries. If you are looking for a quality Forex TRADING Service, see details below.

 

 


Click here to request a TRIAL of Max's Forex Service. By requesting a trial I authorize global-view to conact me.

pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Open Forum
Futures Forum
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Online Forex Trading
Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
Forex Products
GVI Forex
Free Trials
FX Bookstore
FX Jobs and Careers
Jobs USA
Jobs UK
Jobs Canada

Forex Forum

The Global-View Forex Forum is the hub for currency trading on the web. Founded in 1996, it was the original forex forum and is still the place where forex traders around the globe come 24/7 looking for currency trading ideas, breaking forex news, fx trading rumors, fx flows and more. This is where you can find a full suite of forex trading tools, including a complete fx database, forex chart points, live currency rates, and live fx charts. In addition, there is a forex brokers directory where you can compare forex brokers. There is also a forex brokers hotline where you can ask for help choosing a forex broker that meets your individual fx trading needs. Interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading.

Forex News

The forex forum is where traders come to discuss the forex market. It is one of the few places where forex traders of all levels of experience, from novice to professionals, interact on the same venue to discuss forex trading. There is also the GVI Forex, which is a private subscription service where professional and experienced currency traders meet in a private forex forum. it is like a virtual forex trading room. This is open to forex traders of all levels of experience to view but only experienced currency tradingprofessionals can post.

Currency Trading

Currency trading charts are updated daily using the forex trading ranges posted in the Global-View forex database. You will also find technical indicators on the fx trading charts, e.g. moving averages for currencies such as the EURUSD. This is another forex trading tool provided by Global-View.com.

Forex Brokers

The forex database can be used to access high, low, close daily forex ranges for key currency pairs, such as the EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUD, NZD and major crosses, including EURJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF, GBPJPY, GBPCHF and CHFJPY. Data for these currency trading pairs dating back to January 1, 1999 can be downloaded to an Excel spreadsheet.

Forex Trading

Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

WARNING: FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRADING AND INVESTMENT IN DERIVATIVES CAN BE VERY SPECULATIVE AND MAY RESULT IN LOSSES AS WELL AS PROFITS. FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND DERIVATIVES TRADING IS NOT SUITABLE FOR MANY MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE APPLIED. THE WEBSITE DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SPECIAL INVESTMENT GOALS, THE FINANCIAL SITUATION OR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS OF INDIVIDUAL USERS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR FINANCIAL SITUATION AND CONSULT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISORS AS TO THE SUITABILITY TO YOUR SITUATION PRIOR TO MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR ENTERING INTO ANY TRANSACTIONS.

Copyright ©1996-2014 Global-View. All Rights Reserved.
Hosting and Development by Blue 105