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Wednesday September 19, 2007 - 10:26:38 GMT
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Forex Market News - Trade the News - European Market Update - BOE Held Rates Unanimously in September

European Market Update - BOE Held Rates Unanimously in September

· Economic Data

· GE Aug Producer Prices: M/M 0.1%; Y/Y 1.0% [in line with expectations]

· SP July Factory Orders Y/Y: 8.5% vs. 2.6% prior; Prior revised down from 2. 9%

· SZ July Adjusted Real Retail Sales Y/Y: 3.3% vs. 5. 3%e

· IT July Industrial Orders: M/M -0.4% vs. -0.7%e; Y/Y 11.8% vs. 5.7%e

· IT July Industrial Sales: M/M 1.2% vs. -1.0%e; Y/Y 11.5% vs. 4.2% prior

· BOE Minutes

· BOE Minutes: Voted unanimously to hold rates at September 5/6 meeting

· BOE Minutes: Upside risks to inflation probably receded

· BOE Minutes: Impact of market turmoil unclear

· BOE Minutes: Inflation outlook more uncertain

· BOE Minutes: Saw limited slack and elevated prices indicators

· Market View: Minutes were dovish

· Speakers/Comments

· Goldman Sachs: Cuts 2008 US GDP forecast to 1.8% from 2.4%

· UK Times: BOE may cut rates in wake of the US; Cites lower CPI y/y enabling the BOE to cut rates if needed to prevent an economic downturn

· ZEW Survey: 66% of experts see a high risk of sub-prime impacting financial sector stability

· ZEW Survey: 67% of experts see liquidity problems lasting a maximum of three months

· GE Economic Ministry: Sees limited impact on economic growth from financial market turbulence

· GE Economic Ministry: Increased risks are a result of Euro FX levels, oil prices, and market turbulence

· GE BDB Banking Association: Cuts 2007 German growth forecast to 2.5% from 2.7%; Maintains 2008 forecast of 2.0%

· GE BDB Banking Association: Market turbulence is manageable

· GE BGA Exporters Association: Risk of a cut in the 2008 exports growth forecast is rising due to US financial woes

· GE BGA Exporters Association: German exports seen declining 5% in 2007; Seen declining further in 2008

· GE BGA Exporters Association: US woes likely to cost the German economy a few tenths of a percentage point of growth

· Fixed Income/FX

· GE BGA Exporters Association: Sees €/S range of $1.36-$1.42; Could reach a maximum of $1.43 [vs. $1.36-$1.40 forecast on 4/20]

· EUR/USD tests and holds $1.40 option barrier

· USD/CHF approaches 1.18 level; Has not broken 1.18 since April of 2005

· Post Asian Close

· BOJ Monthly Report: Leaves assessment unchanged in monthly report

· BOJ Monthly Report: Economy is expanding moderately [***]

· BOJ Monthly Report: Capex is a rising trend [***]

· BOJ Monthly Report: Rising wholesale prices expected to slow

· BOJ Fukui: Mizuno voted for a 25bps hike

· BOJ Fukui: Must watch how global economic developments effect Japan

· BOJ Fukui: Must watch the Tankan survey [Tankan is due 9/30]

· BOJ Fukui: There is a downside risk in the US economy [***]

· BOJ Fukui: Current rates are low; Will conduct policy in a timely manner [***]

· BOJ Fukui: Does not see the US economy falling into a recession [***]

· Energy

· OPEC: Daily basket hits new all-time high of $74.92

· Nippon Oil guides Oct crude refining volume +6% y/y

· BP's Russian JV seeks to enter Venezuela - Kommerstant

· NHC: No tropical cyclone formations expected over the next 48 hours

· Legend

· [***] Indicates that a comment is in line with previous comments

· Country Codes: GE = Germany; SP = Spain; SZ = Switzerland; IT = Italy; JP = Japan

· Central Banks: BOE= Bank of England; ECB = European Central Bank; BOJ = Bank of Japan

· Other: NHC = National Hurricane Center


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